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Details about Christopher J. Neely

Homepage:http://research.stlouisfed.org/econ/cneely/
Postal address:Chris Neely 411 Locust St. St. Louis, MO 63102 United States
Workplace:Research Division, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Christopher J. Neely.

Last updated 2025-05-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pne3


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Working Papers

2026

  1. Determinants of Foreign Aid to Ukraine
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  2. Sluggish news reactions: A combinatorial approach for synchronizing stock jumps
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
    Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2023) Downloads
  3. Testing for Multi-Asset Systemic Tail Risk
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  4. The U.S. Dollar’s Role as a Reserve Currency
    Open Vault, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads

2025

  1. Financial Market Volatility in the Spring of 2025
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  2. The economic effects of a potential armed conflict over Taiwan
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
    See also Journal Article The Economic Effects of a Potential Armed Conflict Over Taiwan, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2025) Downloads (2025)
  3. What Causes “Jumps” in Stock Prices?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads

2024

  1. Measuring Inflation: Headline, Core and “Supercore” Services
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  2. Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2023) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Mind your language: Market responses to central bank speeches, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2025) Downloads View citations (8) (2025)
  3. The Costless Disinflation of 2022-24
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  4. What Happens to Expected Stock Volatility around Election Day?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads

2023

  1. Reviewing the Impact of Energy Sanctions on Russia
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  2. What Is the Probability of a Recession? The Message from Yield Spreads
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads

2022

  1. Financial market reactions to the Russian invasion of Ukraine
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Financial Market Reactions to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2022) Downloads View citations (1) (2022)
  2. How Persistent Are Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article How persistent are unconventional monetary policy effects?, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (6) (2022)
  3. Inflation and the Real Value of Debt: A Double-edged Sword
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and Its Impact on Stock Prices
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  5. The Innocent Greenbacks Abroad: U.S. Currency Held Internationally
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads

2021

  1. More Irrational Exuberance? A Look at Stock Prices
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  2. Unconventional monetary policy and the behavior of shorts
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
    See also Journal Article Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Behavior of Shorts, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2024) Downloads (2024)

2020

  1. A Look at the Fed’s Emergency Lending Programs
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
  2. An Analysis of the Literature on International Unconventional Monetary Policy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article An Analysis of the Literature on International Unconventional Monetary Policy, Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association (2022) Downloads View citations (54) (2022)
  3. Can risk explain the profitability of technical trading in currency markets?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
    See also Journal Article Can risk explain the profitability of technical trading in currency markets?, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2021) Downloads View citations (6) (2021)
  4. Monetary Policy and Economic Performance Since the Financial Crisis
    Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2020) Downloads View citations (5)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2020) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Monetary Policy and Economic Performance Since the Financial Crisis, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2021) Downloads (2021)
  5. More Stories of Unconventional Monetary Policy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article More Stories of Unconventional Monetary Policy, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2021) Downloads View citations (2) (2021)
  6. Supply and demand shifts of shorts before Fed announcements during QE1–QE3
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
    See also Journal Article Supply and demand shifts of shorts before Fed announcements during QE1–QE3, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2021) Downloads (2021)

2018

  1. Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book
    IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series" Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2017) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2019) Downloads View citations (16) (2019)

2017

  1. Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves, Policy Choices and the U.S. Economy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves, Policy Choices, and the U.S. Economy, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2017) Downloads View citations (3) (2017)
  2. Systematic Cojumps, Market Component Portfolios and Scheduled Macroeconomic Announcements
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Systematic cojumps, market component portfolios and scheduled macroeconomic announcements, Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier (2017) Downloads View citations (3) (2017)
  3. The response of multinationals’ foreign exchange rate exposure to macroeconomic news
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article The response of multinationals’ foreign exchange rate exposure to macroeconomic news, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2019) Downloads View citations (8) (2019)

2015

  1. Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (5)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2013) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2015) Downloads View citations (5) (2015)

2014

  1. The role of jumps in volatility spillovers in foreign exchange markets: meteor shower and heat waves revisited
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article The Role of Jumps in Volatility Spillovers in Foreign Exchange Markets: Meteor Shower and Heat Waves Revisited, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2020) Downloads View citations (8) (2020)

2012

  1. Econometric modeling of exchange rate volatility and jumps
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Chapter Econometric modeling of exchange rate volatility and jumps, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2013) Downloads (2013)
  2. International channels of the Fed’s unconventional monetary policy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (30)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article International channels of the Fed's unconventional monetary policy, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2014) Downloads View citations (115) (2014)

2011

  1. Capital flows and Japanese asset volatility
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article CAPITAL FLOWS AND JAPANESE ASSET VOLATILITY, Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell (2012) Downloads View citations (1) (2012)
  2. Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators
    Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics Downloads View citations (15)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2010) Downloads View citations (22)

    See also Journal Article Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators, Management Science, INFORMS (2014) Downloads View citations (573) (2014)
  3. Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements
    LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (149)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2007) Downloads View citations (9)

    See also Journal Article Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2011) View citations (198) (2011)
  4. Lessons from the evolution of foreign exchange trading strategies
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Lessons from the evolution of foreign exchange trading strategies, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2013) Downloads View citations (39) (2013)
  5. Technical analysis in the foreign exchange market
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (41)

2010

  1. The large scale asset purchases had large international effects
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (189)
    See also Journal Article Unconventional monetary policy had large international effects, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2015) Downloads View citations (315) (2015)

2009

  1. Common fluctuations in OECD budget balances
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Common Fluctuations in OECD Budget Balances, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2015) Downloads View citations (1) (2015)

2008

  1. Is inflation an international phenomenon?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (12)
  2. Optimal discrete hedging in the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model
    Working Paper Series, Victoria University of Wellington, The New Zealand Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation Downloads
  3. Real interest rate persistence: evidence and implications
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (76)
    See also Journal Article Real interest rate persistence: evidence and implications, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2008) Downloads View citations (33) (2008)
  4. The dynamic interaction of order flows and the CAD/USD exchange rate
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (3)

2007

  1. Central Bank intervention and exchange rate volatility: its continuous and jump components
    ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles View citations (52)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2007) Downloads View citations (56)

    See also Journal Article Central bank intervention and exchange rate volatility, its continuous and jump components, International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2007) Downloads View citations (48) (2007)
  2. Central bank authorities’ beliefs about foreign exchange intervention
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Central bank authorities' beliefs about foreign exchange intervention, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (75) (2008)
  3. Central bank intervention with limited arbitrage
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Central bank intervention with limited arbitrage, International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2007) Downloads View citations (4) (2007)
  4. Information shares in the U.S. treasury market
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Information shares in the US Treasury market, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (85) (2008)
  5. The adaptive markets hypothesis: evidence from the foreign exchange market
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press (2009) Downloads View citations (126) (2009)
  6. The microstructure of the U.S. treasury market
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (10)

2006

  1. Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Journal Article Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns?, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2007) Downloads View citations (41) (2007)
  2. Foreign exchange volatility is priced in equities
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Foreign Exchange Volatility Is Priced in Equities, Financial Management, Financial Management Association International (2008) Downloads View citations (10) (2008)
  3. Identifying the effects of U.S. intervention on the levels of exchange rates
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (10)
  4. Investigating the intertemporal risk-return relation in international stock markets with the component GARCH model
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Investigating the intertemporal risk-return relation in international stock markets with the component GARCH model, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (27) (2008)
  5. The Transition to Electronic Trading in the Secondary Treasury Market
    Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics View citations (4)

2005

  1. An analysis of recent studies of the effect of foreign exchange intervention
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (146)
    See also Journal Article An analysis of recent studies of the effect of foreign exchange intervention, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2005) Downloads View citations (183) (2005)
  2. The case for foreign exchange intervention: the government as an active reserve manager
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Year-end seasonality in one-month LIBOR derivatives
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (2)

2004

  1. Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? and does it matter?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter?, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier (2009) Downloads View citations (15) (2009)
  2. Implied volatility from options on gold futures: do statistical forecasts add value or simply paint the lilly?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (4)

2003

  1. The Federal Reserve responds to crises: September 11th was not the first
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article The Federal Reserve responds to crises: September 11th was not the first, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2004) Downloads View citations (14) (2004)

2002

  1. How well do monetary fundamentals forecast exchange rates?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (79)
    See also Journal Article How well do monetary fundamentals forecast exchange rates?, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2002) Downloads View citations (41) (2002)
  2. The temporal pattern of trading rule returns and central bank intervention: intervention does not generate technical trading rule profits
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Journal Article The temporal pattern of trading rule returns and exchange rate intervention: intervention does not generate technical trading profits, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2002) Downloads View citations (80) (2002)

2001

  1. Intraday technical trading in the foreign exchange market
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Intraday technical trading in the foreign exchange market, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2003) Downloads View citations (65) (2003)
  2. Predicting exchange rate volatility: genetic programming vs. GARCH and RiskMetrics
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Risk-adjusted, ex ante, optimal technical trading rules in equity markets
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
    See also Journal Article Risk-adjusted, ex ante, optimal technical trading rules in equity markets, International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier (2003) Downloads View citations (18) (2003)

2000

  1. Technical analysis and central bank intervention
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Technical analysis and central bank intervention, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2001) Downloads View citations (51) (2001)
  2. The practice of central bank intervention: looking under the hood
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (83)
    See also Journal Article The practice of central bank intervention: looking under the hood, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2001) Downloads View citations (74) (2001)

1999

  1. Predictability in international asset returns: a reexamination
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Reexamination, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press (2000) Downloads View citations (23) (2000)
  2. Risk aversion vs. intertemporal substitution: identification failure in the intertemporal consumption CAPM
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics (1998)

1998

  1. Endogenous realignments and the sustainability of a target
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Target zones and conditional volatility: the role of realignments
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Target zones and conditional volatility: The role of realignments, Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier (1999) Downloads View citations (38) (1999)
  3. Technical trading rules in the European Monetary System
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Technical trading rules in the European Monetary System, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (1999) Downloads View citations (40) (1999)

1997

  1. Is technical analysis in the foreign exchange market profitable? a genetic programming approach
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (215)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (1996) Downloads View citations (45)

    See also Journal Article Is Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market Profitable? A Genetic Programming Approach, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press (1997) Downloads View citations (216) (1997)

1995

  1. Endogenous Realignments and the Sustainability of a Target Zone
    CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Testing asset pricing models with Euler equations: it's worse than you think
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads

1994

  1. A reconsideration of the properties of the generalized method moments in asset pricing models
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Realignments of target zone exchange systems: what do we know?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (7)

Journal Articles

2026

  1. Paul Blustein: King Dollar: The Past and Future of the World’s Dominant Currency
    Business Economics, 2026, 61, (1), 43-44 Downloads
  2. Successful vs. Failed Disinflations: An Event Study
    Review, 2026, 108, (3), 1-26 Downloads

2025

  1. Mind your language: Market responses to central bank speeches
    Journal of Econometrics, 2025, 249, (PC) Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches, Working Papers (2024) Downloads View citations (10) (2024)
  2. The Economic Effects of a Potential Armed Conflict Over Taiwan
    Review, 2025, 107, (3), 1-23 Downloads
    See also Working Paper The economic effects of a potential armed conflict over Taiwan, Working Papers (2025) Downloads (2025)

2024

  1. Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Behavior of Shorts
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2024, 56, (4), 805-835 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Unconventional monetary policy and the behavior of shorts, Working Papers (2021) Downloads (2021)
  2. Why Have a Strategic Petroleum Reserve?
    Economic Synopses, 2024, (5), 3 pages Downloads

2023

  1. Interest Rate Risk, Bank Runs and Silicon Valley Bank
    The Regional Economist, 2023 Downloads
  2. Modeling Professional Recession Forecasts
    Economic Synopses, 2023, (21), 3 pages Downloads
  3. Systemic Financial Risks, Macroprudential Tools and Monetary Policy
    The Regional Economist, 2023 Downloads
  4. The FDIC Studies “Options for Deposit Insurance Reform”
    Economic Synopses, 2023, (14), 2 pages Downloads
  5. The Rise and Fall of M2
    Economic Synopses, 2023 Downloads

2022

  1. A Shutoff of Russian Natural Gas
    Economic Synopses, 2022, (29), 1-2 Downloads
  2. An Analysis of the Literature on International Unconventional Monetary Policy
    Journal of Economic Literature, 2022, 60, (2), 527-97 Downloads View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper An Analysis of the Literature on International Unconventional Monetary Policy, Working Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (16) (2020)
  3. Financial Market Reactions to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
    Review, 2022, 104, (4), 266-296 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Financial market reactions to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Working Papers (2022) Downloads View citations (6) (2022)
  4. How Do Economists Think about the Environment and Climate Change?
    The Regional Economist, 2022 Downloads
  5. How persistent are unconventional monetary policy effects?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, 126, (C) Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper How Persistent Are Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects?, Working Papers (2022) Downloads View citations (3) (2022)
  6. The Russian Invasion, Oil and Gasoline Prices, and Recession
    Economic Synopses, 2022, (10), 1-2 Downloads View citations (3)
  7. Why Price Controls Should Stay in the History Books
    The Regional Economist, 2022 Downloads View citations (2)

2021

  1. Can risk explain the profitability of technical trading in currency markets?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2021, 110, (C) Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper Can risk explain the profitability of technical trading in currency markets?, Working Papers (2020) Downloads (2020)
  2. International Inflation Trends
    Economic Synopses, 2021, (9), 1-2 Downloads
  3. Monetary Policy and Economic Performance Since the Financial Crisis
    Review, 2021, 103, (4), 425-460 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy and Economic Performance Since the Financial Crisis, Globalization Institute Working Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (4) (2020)
  4. More Stories of Unconventional Monetary Policy
    Review, 2021, 103, (2), 207-270 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper More Stories of Unconventional Monetary Policy, Working Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (1) (2020)
  5. Overshooting the Inflation Target
    Economic Synopses, 2021, (24), 1-3 Downloads
  6. Supply and demand shifts of shorts before Fed announcements during QE1–QE3
    Economics Letters, 2021, 200, (C) Downloads
    See also Working Paper Supply and demand shifts of shorts before Fed announcements during QE1–QE3, Working Papers (2020) Downloads (2020)

2020

  1. Central Bank Responses to COVID-19
    Economic Synopses, 2020, (23) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Fed Intervention in the To-Be-Announced Market for Mortgage-Backed Securities
    Economic Synopses, 2020, (19) Downloads
  3. Federal Reserve System International Facilities
    Economic Synopses, 2020, (29) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Negative U.S. Interest Rates?
    Economic Synopses, 2020, (4) Downloads
  5. Responses of International Central Banks to the COVID-19 Crisis
    Review, 2020, 102, (4), 338-384 Downloads View citations (11)
  6. Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility Supports Main Street
    Economic Synopses, 2020, (17) Downloads View citations (1)
  7. Supporting Small Borrowers: ABS Markets and the TALF
    Economic Synopses, 2020, (20) Downloads View citations (1)
  8. The Role of Jumps in Volatility Spillovers in Foreign Exchange Markets: Meteor Shower and Heat Waves Revisited
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2020, 38, (2), 410-427 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper The role of jumps in volatility spillovers in foreign exchange markets: meteor shower and heat waves revisited, Working Papers (2014) Downloads View citations (5) (2014)
  9. The Stock Market's Wild Ride
    Economic Synopses, 2020, (15) Downloads

2019

  1. Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book
    Journal of Econometrics, 2019, 209, (2), 158-184 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book, IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers (2018) Downloads View citations (1) (2018)
  2. The Asset Holdings of the Bank of Japan
    Economic Synopses, 2019, (17) Downloads
  3. The response of multinationals’ foreign exchange rate exposure to macroeconomic news
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2019, 94, (C), 32-47 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper The response of multinationals’ foreign exchange rate exposure to macroeconomic news, Working Papers (2017) Downloads View citations (2) (2017)
  4. What to Expect from Quantitative Tightening
    Economic Synopses, 2019, (8) Downloads View citations (3)

2018

  1. Why Are U.S. Bond Yields So High?
    Economic Synopses, 2018, (18), 1-2 Downloads

2017

  1. Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves, Policy Choices, and the U.S. Economy
    Review, 2017, 99, (2) Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves, Policy Choices and the U.S. Economy, Working Papers (2017) Downloads View citations (3) (2017)
  2. Systematic cojumps, market component portfolios and scheduled macroeconomic announcements
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2017, 43, (C), 43-58 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Systematic Cojumps, Market Component Portfolios and Scheduled Macroeconomic Announcements, Working Papers (2017) Downloads View citations (3) (2017)
  3. The People’s Bank of China Boosts the Yuan
    Economic Synopses, 2017, (3), 1-2 Downloads View citations (1)

2016

  1. Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves and the U.S. Economy
    Economic Synopses, 2016, (9), 1-2 Downloads

2015

  1. Common Fluctuations in OECD Budget Balances
    Review, 2015, 97, (2), 109-132 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Common fluctuations in OECD budget balances, Working Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (1) (2009)
  2. Financial Engineering Versus Cancer
    Economic Synopses, 2015, (18) Downloads
  3. How Much Do Oil Prices Affect Inflation?
    Economic Synopses, 2015, (10) Downloads View citations (10)
  4. Unconventional monetary policy had large international effects
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015, 52, (C), 101-111 Downloads View citations (315)
    See also Working Paper The large scale asset purchases had large international effects, Working Papers (2010) Downloads View citations (189) (2010)
  5. Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015, 61, (S2), S256-S268 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?, Post-Print (2015) View citations (5) (2015)

2014

  1. Comparing international bond yields
    Economic Synopses, 2014, (19) Downloads
  2. Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators
    Management Science, 2014, 60, (7), 1772-1791 Downloads View citations (573)
    See also Working Paper Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators, Working Papers (2011) Downloads View citations (15) (2011)
  3. International channels of the Fed's unconventional monetary policy
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2014, 44, (C), 24-46 Downloads View citations (115)
    See also Working Paper International channels of the Fed’s unconventional monetary policy, Working Papers (2012) Downloads View citations (30) (2012)
  4. Lessons from the taper tantrum
    Economic Synopses, 2014, (2) Downloads View citations (17)
  5. The evolution of Federal Reserve policy and the impact of monetary policy surprises on asset prices
    Review, 2014, 96, (1), 73-109 Downloads View citations (14)

2013

  1. Four stories of quantitative easing
    Review, 2013, (Jan), 51-88 Downloads View citations (167)
  2. Lessons from the evolution of foreign exchange trading strategies
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013, 37, (10), 3783-3798 Downloads View citations (39)
    See also Working Paper Lessons from the evolution of foreign exchange trading strategies, Working Papers (2011) Downloads View citations (1) (2011)
  3. Political pressure on the bank of Japan: interference or accountability?
    Economic Synopses, 2013 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Would it help to eliminate interest on reserves?
    Economic Synopses, 2013 Downloads

2012

  1. CAPITAL FLOWS AND JAPANESE ASSET VOLATILITY
    Pacific Economic Review, 2012, 17, (3), 391-414 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Capital flows and Japanese asset volatility, Working Papers (2011) Downloads View citations (1) (2011)
  2. The mysterious Greek yield curve
    Economic Synopses, 2012 Downloads View citations (8)

2011

  1. A foreign exchange intervention in an era of restraint
    Review, 2011, 93, (Sep), 303-324 Downloads View citations (31)
  2. A survey of announcement effects on foreign exchange volatility and jumps
    Review, 2011, 93, (Sep), 361-385 Downloads View citations (26)
  3. Fiscal policy and expected inflation
    Economic Synopses, 2011 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. International comovements in inflation rates and country characteristics
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2011, 30, (7), 1471-1490 Downloads View citations (125)
  5. Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, (6), 893-921 View citations (198)
    See also Working Paper Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements, LIDAM Reprints CORE (2011) View citations (149) (2011)
  6. The difference between currency manipulation and monetary policy
    Economic Synopses, 2011 Downloads View citations (3)
  7. The great foreign exchange intervention of 2011
    Economic Synopses, 2011 Downloads View citations (1)

2010

  1. "How central should the central bank be?" a comment
    Economic Synopses, 2010 Downloads
  2. A survey of announcement effects on foreign exchange returns
    Review, 2010, 92, (Sep), 417-464 Downloads View citations (40)
  3. Okun's law: output and unemployment
    Economic Synopses, 2010 Downloads View citations (5)
  4. The effects of large-scale asset purchases on TIPS inflation expectations
    Economic Synopses, 2010 Downloads View citations (16)
  5. U.S. historical experience with deflation
    Economic Synopses, 2010 Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter?
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2009, 19, (1), 188-205 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? and does it matter?, Working Papers (2004) Downloads View citations (7) (2004)
  2. Markets worry more about sovereign debt
    International Economic Trends, 2009, (Feb) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Systemic risk and the financial crisis: a primer
    Review, 2009, 91, (Sep), 403-418 Downloads View citations (21)
  4. The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market
    Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2009, 44, (2), 467-488 Downloads View citations (126)
    See also Working Paper The adaptive markets hypothesis: evidence from the foreign exchange market, Working Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (16) (2007)

2008

  1. Central bank authorities' beliefs about foreign exchange intervention
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2008, 27, (1), 1-25 Downloads View citations (75)
    See also Working Paper Central bank authorities’ beliefs about foreign exchange intervention, Working Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (9) (2007)
  2. Foreign Exchange Volatility Is Priced in Equities
    Financial Management, 2008, 37, (4), 769-790