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Details about Ariel Pakes

Homepage:https://scholar.harvard.edu/pakes
Phone:617-495-5320
Postal address:Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer, North Yard, Room 117 Cambridge, MA 02138
Workplace:Department of Economics, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Ariel Pakes.

Last updated 2026-06-12. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ppa20


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Working Papers

2026

  1. Pharmaceutical Advertising in Dynamic Equilibrium
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    Also in Working Papers, HAL (2026) Downloads
    CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2026) Downloads
    TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE) (2026) Downloads

2024

  1. Policy Options for the Drug Pricing Conundrum
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Journal Article Policy options for the drug pricing conundrum, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2025) Downloads (2025)

2022

  1. Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2023) Downloads View citations (7) (2023)

2021

  1. Artificial Intelligence and Pricing: The Impact of Algorithm Design
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (17)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2021) Downloads View citations (19)
  2. Moment Inequalities and Partial Identification in Industrial Organization
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Unobserved Heterogeneity, State Dependence, and Health Plan Choices
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (9)

2020

  1. A Helicopter Tour of Some Underlying Issues In Empirical Industrial Organization
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Journal Article A Helicopter Tour of Some Underlying Issues in Empirical Industrial Organization, Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews (2021) Downloads View citations (7) (2021)

2019

  1. Parag Pathak: Winner of the 2018 Clark Medal
    University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego Downloads
    See also Journal Article Parag Pathak: Winner of the 2018 Clark Medal, Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (2019) Downloads (2019)

2017

  1. Empirical tools and competition analysis: Past progress and current problems
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Empirical tools and competition analysis: Past progress and current problems, International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier (2017) Downloads View citations (6) (2017)
  2. The Evolution of Health Insurer Costs in Massachusetts, 2010-12
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads
    Also in Working Papers, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group (2017) Downloads
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) Downloads

2016

  1. Just Starting Out: Learning and Equilibrium in a New Market
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Just Starting Out: Learning and Equilibrium in a New Market, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2018) Downloads View citations (45) (2018)
  2. Methodological Issues in Analyzing Market Dynamics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Moment Inequalities for Multinomial Choice with Fixed Effects
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article Moment inequalities for multinomial choice with fixed effects, Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society (2024) Downloads View citations (3) (2024)
  4. The Competitive Effects of Information Sharing
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (9)

2014

  1. Behavioral and Descriptive Forms of Choice Models
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)

2013

  1. Hospital Choices, Hospital Prices and Financial Incentives to Physicians
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Hospital Choices, Hospital Prices, and Financial Incentives to Physicians, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2014) Downloads View citations (76) (2014)

2011

  1. Wind Power Investment
    2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

2010

  1. Alternative Models for Moment Inequalities
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (74)
    Also in CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies (2010) Downloads View citations (74)

    See also Journal Article Alternative Models for Moment Inequalities, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2010) View citations (75) (2010)

2009

  1. Buyers - Sellers Network: Dynamic Interaction between Hospitals and HMOs
    2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
  2. Finite State Dynamic Games with Asymmetric Information: A Framework for Applied Work
    2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (6)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2005) Downloads View citations (5)
    Foerder Institute for Economic Research Working Papers, Tel-Aviv University > Foerder Institute for Economic Research (2008) Downloads
    CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2009) Downloads View citations (6)

2008

  1. An Experimental Component Index for the CPI: From Annual Computer Data to Monthly Data on Other Goods
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article An Experimental Component Index for the CPI: From Annual Computer Data to Monthly Data on Other Goods, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2011) Downloads View citations (37) (2011)
  2. Factor Utilization in Indian Manufacturing: A Look at the World Bank Investment Climate Surveys Data
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (19)
  3. Theory and Empirical Work on Imperfectly Competitive Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (11)

2007

  1. Moment inequalities and their application
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Journal Article Moment Inequalities and Their Application, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2015) Downloads View citations (91) (2015)

2004

  1. Applied Dynamic Analysis in Industrial Organization: Problems and Prospects
    Annual Meeting Plenary, Society for Economic Dynamics
  2. Differentiated Products Demand Systems from a Combination of Micro and Macro Data: The New Car Market
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (355)
    Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2001) Downloads View citations (30)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998) Downloads View citations (38)

    See also Journal Article Differentiated Products Demand Systems from a Combination of Micro and Macro Data: The New Car Market, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2004) Downloads View citations (358) (2004)
  3. Finite State Dynamic Games with Asymmetric Information: A Computational Framework
    2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (2)
    Also in Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (2004) Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Simple Estimators for the Parameters of Discrete Dynamic Games (with Entry/Exit Examples)
    Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research Downloads View citations (86)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article Simple estimators for the parameters of discrete dynamic games (with entry/exit examples), RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation (2007) Downloads View citations (221) (2007)

2003

  1. Common Sense and Simplicity in Empirical Industrial Organization
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (2003) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article Common Sense and Simplicity in Empirical Industrial Organization, Review of Industrial Organization, Springer (2003) Downloads View citations (8) (2003)

2002

  1. A Reconsideration of Hedonic Price Indices with an Application to PC's
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article A Reconsideration of Hedonic Price Indexes with an Application to PC's, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2003) Downloads View citations (190) (2003)
  2. Limit Theorems for Estimating the Parameters of Differentiated Product Demand Systems
    Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University Downloads View citations (14)
    Also in Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (2002) Downloads View citations (11)
    LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2000) Downloads
    STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE (2000) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Limit Theorems for Estimating the Parameters of Differentiated Product Demand Systems, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2004) Downloads View citations (92) (2004)

2000

  1. A Framework for Applied Dynamic Analysis in I.O
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Chapter A Framework for Applied Dynamic Analysis in IO, Handbook of Industrial Organization, Elsevier (2007) Downloads View citations (84) (2007)

1999

  1. A Dynamic Oligopoly with Collusion and Price Wars
    Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1999) Downloads View citations (2)
    Working Papers, Tel Aviv (1998)
    Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research (1999) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article A Dynamic Oligopoly with Collusion and Price Wars, RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation (2000) View citations (95) (2000)

1997

  1. Stochastic Algorithms for Dynamic Models: Markov Perfect Equilibrium, and the 'Curse' of Dimensionality
    Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University Downloads View citations (18)
  2. Voluntary Export Restraints on Automobiles: Evaluating a Strategic Trade Policy
    Working Papers, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan View citations (1)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1995) Downloads View citations (16)

1996

  1. Environmental Change and Hedonic Cost Functions for Automobiles
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (18)
  2. How to Count Patents and Value Intellectual Property: Uses of Patent Renewal and Application Data
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (55)
    See also Journal Article How to Count Patents and Value Intellectual Property: The Uses of Patent Renewal and Application Data, Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell (1998) Downloads View citations (341) (1998)

1994

  1. A Limit Theorem for a Smooth Class of Semiparametric Estimators
    Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article A limit theorem for a smooth class of semiparametric estimators, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1995) Downloads View citations (76) (1995)

1993

  1. Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium: Part I and II
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium, Econometrica, Econometric Society (1995) Downloads View citations (2959) (1995)

1992

  1. An Alternative Theory of Firm and Industry Dynamics
    Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University Downloads View citations (32)
  2. Computing Markov Perfect Nash Equilibria: Numerical Implications of a Dynamic Differentiated Product Model
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (1992) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article Computing Markov-Perfect Nash Equilibria: Numerical Implications of a Dynamic Differentiated Product Model, RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation (1994) Downloads View citations (263) (1994)
  3. The Dynamics Of Productivity In The Telecommunications Equipment Industry
    Working Papers, U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies Downloads View citations (152)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1992) Downloads View citations (399)

    See also Journal Article The Dynamics of Productivity in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry, Econometrica, Econometric Society (1996) Downloads View citations (4562) (1996)

1991

  1. Dynamic Structural Models: Problems and Prospects. Mixed Continuous Discrete Controls and Market Interactions
    Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University Downloads View citations (32)

1990

  1. EMPIRICAL IMPLICATIONS OF ALTERNATIVE MODELS OF FIRM DYNAMICS
    Working Papers, Yale - Economic Growth Center View citations (100)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) Downloads View citations (17)
    SSRI Workshop Series, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Social Systems Research Institute (1988) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article Empirical Implications of Alternative Models of Firm Dynamics, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (1998) Downloads View citations (311) (1998)

1988

  1. R&D, Patents, and Market Value Revisited: Is There Evidence of A SecondTechnological Opportunity Related Factor?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (21)

1986

  1. The Value of Patents as Indicators of Inventive Activity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (78)

1985

  1. Estimates of the Value of Patent Rights in European Countries During thePost-1950 Period
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Estimates of the Value of Patent Rights in European Countries during the Post-1950 Period, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (1986) Downloads View citations (319) (1986)
  2. On Patents, R & D, and the Stock Market Rate of Return
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (200)
    See also Journal Article On Patents, R&D, and the Stock Market Rate of Return, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1985) Downloads View citations (195) (1985)

1984

  1. Looking for the News in the Noise - Additional Stochastic Implications of Optimal Consumption Choice
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Looking for the News in the Noise. Additional Stochastic Implications of Optimal Consumption Choise, Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES (1988) Downloads View citations (2) (1988)
  2. Patents as Options: Some Estimates of the Value of Holding European Patent Stocks
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (222)
    See also Journal Article Patents as Options: Some Estimates of the Value of Holding European Patent Stocks, Econometrica, Econometric Society (1986) Downloads View citations (549) (1986)

1983

  1. Optimum Contracts for Research Personnel, Research Employment, and the Establishment of "Rival" Enterprises
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (110)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1982) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Optimum Contracts for Research Personnel, Research Employment, and the Establishment of "Rival" Enterprises, Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (1983) Downloads View citations (117) (1983)

1982

  1. Estimating Distributed Lags in Short Panels with an Application to the Specification of Depreciation Patterns and Capital Stock Constructs
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Journal Article Estimating Distributed Lags in Short Panels with an Application to the Specification of Depreciation Patterns and Capital Stock Constructs, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1984) Downloads View citations (91) (1984)

1981

  1. On Measuring the Variance-Age Profile of Lifetime Earnings
    UCLA Economics Working Papers, UCLA Department of Economics Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article On Measuring the Variance-Age Profile of Lifetime Earnings, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1981) Downloads View citations (6) (1981)
  2. Patents, R and D, and the Stock Market Rate of Return
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (8)

1980

  1. An Exploration Into the Determinants of Research Intensity
    Working Papers, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University View citations (3)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1980) Downloads View citations (15)

    See also Chapter An Exploration into the Determinants of Research Intensity, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1984) Downloads View citations (53) (1984)
  2. Patents and R and D at the Firm Level: A First Look
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (125)
  3. The Estimation of Distributed Lags in Short Panels
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)

1979

  1. Aggregation Effects And Panel Data Estimation Problems: An Investigationof the R&D Intensity Decision
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  2. Measuring the Variance-Age Profile of Lifetime Income
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  3. The Rate of Obsolescence Of Knowledge, Research Gestation Lags, and the Private Rate of Return to Research Resources
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (87)
    Also in Working Papers, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University (1978) View citations (11)

Undated

  1. Computational Issues in the Analysis of Simple IO Models: A Report from the Applied Front
    Computing in Economics and Finance 1996, Society for Computational Economics Downloads

Journal Articles

2025

  1. Policy options for the drug pricing conundrum
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2025, 122, (9), e2418540122 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Policy Options for the Drug Pricing Conundrum, NBER Working Papers (2024) Downloads (2024)

2024

  1. Moment inequalities for multinomial choice with fixed effects
    Quantitative Economics, 2024, 15, (1), 1-25 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Moment Inequalities for Multinomial Choice with Fixed Effects, NBER Working Papers (2016) Downloads View citations (18) (2016)
  2. The impact of artificial intelligence design on pricing
    Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 2024, 33, (2), 276-304 Downloads View citations (7)

2023

  1. Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities
    The Review of Economic Studies, 2023, 90, (6), 2763-2791 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities, Papers (2022) Downloads View citations (4) (2022)

2022

  1. Artificial Intelligence, Algorithm Design, and Pricing
    AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2022, 112, 452-56 Downloads View citations (13)

2021

  1. A Helicopter Tour of Some Underlying Issues in Empirical Industrial Organization
    Annual Review of Economics, 2021, 13, (1), 397-421 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper