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Details about Niklas Potrafke

Workplace:Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät (Department of Economics), Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (University of Munich), (more information at EDIRC)
ifo Institut - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München e.V. (Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Niklas Potrafke.

Last updated 2026-05-03. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ppo212


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Working Papers

2026

  1. Expert Inflation Preferences and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
  2. Expertise and Prediction Accuracy
    IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER Downloads
    Also in Munich Papers in Political Economy, Munich School of Politics and Public Policy and the School of Management at the Technical University of Munich (2026) Downloads
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2026) Downloads
  3. Experts as Intermediaries
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)

2025

  1. Female Leaders and the Representation of Women in Government
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
  2. Fiscal Policies and Parliamentary Activities of Minority Governments in the German States
    ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
    See also Journal Article Fiscal Policies and Parliamentary Activities of Minority Governments in the German States, FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen (2025) Downloads (2025)
  3. Globalization and Gender Equality
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    See also Journal Article Globalization and gender equality, World Development, Elsevier (2026) Downloads (2026)
  4. Losing Political Representation
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
  5. Outside Employment and Parliamentary Priorities
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Outside employment and parliamentary priorities, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2025) Downloads View citations (2) (2025)
  6. Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    Also in Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät (2025) Downloads
  7. The Economic Consequences of Tariffs and Trade Policy Uncertainty
    EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
  8. What Do Economists Think About Tariffs? Insights from the Economic Experts Survey
    EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (1)

2024

  1. European Defence Spending in 2024 and Beyond: How to Provide Security in an Economically Challenging Environment
    EconPol Policy Reports, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Gambling for Re-election
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
  3. Moving Out of the Comfort Zone: How Cultural Norms Affect Attitudes toward Immigration
    IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2024) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. The Economic Consequences of Businesspeople in Politics: A Survey
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    See also Journal Article The economic consequences of businesspeople in politics: A survey, European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier (2025) Downloads View citations (2) (2025)

2023

  1. Crisis Experience and the Deep Roots of Covid-19 Vaccination Preferences
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Post-Print, HAL (2023) View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Crisis experience and the deep roots of COVID-19 vaccination preferences, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2023) Downloads View citations (4) (2023)
  2. NATO Defense Spending in 2023: Implications One Year After Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine
    EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
  3. Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine
    VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage", Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022) Downloads View citations (23)
    ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2022) Downloads View citations (21)

    See also Journal Article Political shocks and inflation expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2025) Downloads View citations (9) (2025)
  4. Population Aging, Retirement, and Aggregate Productivity
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (2)
  5. The Beauty Premium of Politicians in Office
    ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
    See also Journal Article The beauty premium of politicians in office, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2024) Downloads View citations (2) (2024)
  6. The Economic Consequences of Fiscal Rules
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article The economic consequences of fiscal rules, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2025) Downloads View citations (9) (2025)
  7. The Global Impact of the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act: Evidence from an International Expert Survey
    EconPol Policy Reports, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads

2022

  1. Green governments
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) Downloads
  2. Online Versus Offline: Which Networks Spur Protests?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Online versus offline: Which networks spur protests?, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2025) Downloads View citations (2) (2025)
  3. Policy Advice of Economic Experts: Facts or Preferences?
    VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Political leaders and macroeconomic expectations: Evidence from a global survey experiment, Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier (2024) Downloads View citations (18) (2024)
  5. Protectionism and economic growth: Causal evidence from the first era of globalization
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) Downloads View citations (4)
    VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2021) Downloads View citations (2)

2021

  1. Collective Memories on the 2010 European Debt Crisis
    Working Papers, Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Public Finance Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics (2021) Downloads View citations (3)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2021) Downloads View citations (4)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2021) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Collective memories on the 2010 European debt crisis, European Union Politics (2021) Downloads View citations (2) (2021)
  2. Covid-19 Vaccination: The Role of Crisis Experience
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
  3. Populists in Power
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Read My Lips? Taxes and Elections
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Read my lips? Taxes and elections, Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier (2024) Downloads View citations (1) (2024)
  5. Rewarding Conservative Politicians? Evidence from Voting on Same-Sex Marriage
    ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
    See also Journal Article Rewarding conservative politicians? Evidence from voting on same-sex marriage, Public Choice, Springer (2022) Downloads View citations (1) (2022)
  6. The Global Economic Impact of Politicians: Evidence from an International Survey RCT
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) Downloads View citations (6)
  7. Trade Openness and Income Inequality: New Empirical Evidence
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (12)
    Also in ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) Downloads View citations (12)

    See also Journal Article Trade openness and income inequality: New empirical evidence, Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International (2022) Downloads View citations (31) (2022)

2020

  1. Compulsory voting and political participation: Empirical evidence from Austria
    Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (12)
    Also in ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2019) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Compulsory voting and political participation: Empirical evidence from Austria, Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier (2020) Downloads View citations (15) (2020)