Bridging deliberative democracy and crisis management scholarship, we construct theoretical expec... more Bridging deliberative democracy and crisis management scholarship, we construct theoretical expectations about the role of deliberative minipublics in fostering public compliance with difficult political decisions. Our expectations are tested with a randomized cross-national survey experiment (United States and United Kingdom, N = 2088), in which respondents read a realistic news item depicting a political decision-making process leading to the extension of COVID-19 lockdown measures that follows either a (1) citizen deliberation, (2) public consultation, (3) politician deliberation, or (4) nothing. The findings show minipublics are unlikely to foster public compliance during a health crisis. On the contrary, reading about a minipublic could decrease compliance when individuals are distrustful of minipublics. This study has implications for citizen participation, deliberation, and leadership during future pandemics.
Deliberative mini-publics are increasingly used to try to tackle public discontent with the funct... more Deliberative mini-publics are increasingly used to try to tackle public discontent with the functioning of democracy. However, the ability of mini-publics to increase perceptions of legitimate decision-making among citizens at large remains unclear, given especially that existing studies have not considered the potentially damaging effects of mini-public recommendations not being followed. We designed, pre-registered, and ran a survey experiment in Ireland to test the effects of mini-publics on legitimacy perceptions conditional on whether or not their non-binding policy recommendations are honored (N = 1309). We find that mini-publics increase legitimacy perceptions among the broader citizenry; however, these beneficial effects are largely limited to situations in which their recommendations are honored. Additional results suggest that it makes no difference whether mini-public recommendations are overturned by elected representatives or by citizens in a referendum. Finally, we find that the legitimacy-enhancing effects of participatory processes are driven by citizens with low political trust.
Political Belief Formation: Individual Differences and Situational Factors
Cambridge University Press eBooks, Nov 17, 2022
The effect of losing (repeatedly) in direct democratic decisions on loser's consent
Replication Data for: Scaling up Deliberation: Testing the Potential of Mini- Publics to Enhance the Deliberative Capacity of Citizens
These are replication data for the article "Scaling up Deliberation: Testing the Potential o... more These are replication data for the article "Scaling up Deliberation: Testing the Potential of Mini-Publics to Enhance the Deliberative Capacity of Citizens", forthcoming in Swiss Political Science Review
DATA_SCALING_UP.TAB
muradova_onlineappendix – Supplemental material for Seeing the Other Side? Perspective-Taking and Reflective Political Judgements in Interpersonal Deliberation
Supplemental material, muradova_onlineappendix for Seeing the Other Side? Perspective-Taking and ... more Supplemental material, muradova_onlineappendix for Seeing the Other Side? Perspective-Taking and Reflective Political Judgements in Interpersonal Deliberation by Lala Muradova in Political Studies
supplementary_materials – Supplemental material for Seeing the Other Side? Perspective-Taking and Reflective Political Judgements in Interpersonal Deliberation
Supplemental material, supplementary_materials for Seeing the Other Side? Perspective-Taking and ... more Supplemental material, supplementary_materials for Seeing the Other Side? Perspective-Taking and Reflective Political Judgements in Interpersonal Deliberation by Lala Muradova in Political Studies
CMP871655_online_appendices – Supplemental material for Oil wealth and US public support for war
Supplemental material, CMP871655_online_appendices for Oil wealth and US public support for war b... more Supplemental material, CMP871655_online_appendices for Oil wealth and US public support for war by Lala Muradova and Ross James Gildea in Conflict Management and Peace Science
War and Peace in Azerbaijan (WPA): A Bottom-Up Perspective
Public support of peace settlements and reconciliation between former enemies is crucial to build... more Public support of peace settlements and reconciliation between former enemies is crucial to building sustainable peace in post-conflict societies (Bar-Tal, Rosen, and Nets-Zehngut 2009; Kijezski and Rapp, 2019; Tellez, 2019a, 2019b). Although violence in Nagorno-Karabakh has repeatedly flared up since the end of the Cold War and several peace agreements have thus failed, we still know surprisingly little about Azerbaijani support for conflict termination and peacebuilding strategies. Therefore, in this project, we will explore public support for specific peace agreement provisions and examine the relationship between individual war exposure and support for peace provisions.
War and Peace in Azerbaijan (WPA): A Bottom-Up Perspective -- PART 2
This study builds on and extends the experimental design embedded in the larger "War and Pea... more This study builds on and extends the experimental design embedded in the larger "War and Peace in Azerbaijan (WPA)" project, which was initially pre-registered on December 28, 2020 (osf.io/gzw45). The study evaluates how intergroup bias shapes public support towards specific peace provisions by means of question-wording experiments.
Empathy and Political Judgements
Does Exposure to Disagreement Induce More Considered Public Opinions?
The Norm-Diffusing Potential of Minipublics
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020
Oil wealth and authoritarianism: Algeria in the Arab Spring Riqueza petrolífera y autoritarismo: Argelia en la Primavera
The “oil curse thesis” links a country’s oil largesse inter alia to the durability of its authori... more The “oil curse thesis” links a country’s oil largesse inter alia to the durability of its authoritarian regime. And it contends that abundant oil revenues enable autocrats to stymie democratic transition by obviat ing taxation from citizens, buying off their political acquiescence, bolstering the repressive apparatus and thwarting the formation of civil society. This paper revisits the relevant literature by qualitatively testing its predictions on an in-depth case study of the Algerian regime in the face of the political crisis and riots of 2011. Going beyond the deterministic argument on “oil wealth-authoritarianism”, it carefully examines the strategic interaction between country-specific factors and oil wealth and studies how the confluence of these factors has shaped the survival of the authoritarian regime in Algeria since 2011.
Why ineffectiveness is often baked-in to American intervention overseas
When it wants to promote democracy in other countries, the US has a number of options, ranging fr... more When it wants to promote democracy in other countries, the US has a number of options, ranging from foreign aid to economic sanctions to military intervention. But how do Americans feel about these different ways of intervening? In new survey research, Abel Escriba-Folch, Lala Muradova, and Toni Rodon find that Americans are more supportive of intervening in autocratic countries which do not hold elections, and are not US allies. But past experience, they write, also shows that intervening in countries that have these characteristics often does not lead to the growth of democracy.
The Effect of Repeated Losses on Legitimacy Perceptions
Deliberative Scrutiny? Using Deliberative Forums to Counter Misperceptions
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021
Misperceptions and the dissemination of false information pose serious challenges for expert know... more Misperceptions and the dissemination of false information pose serious challenges for expert knowledge and the democratic legitimacy of public policy that is informed by expertise. We theorize that deliberative citizen forums can be an effective means of correcting misperceptions while closing the gap between experts and citizens. We further explain the causal mechanisms underlying this relationship. We test our theoretical argument empirically in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic through two survey-based online experiments in the US and Ireland (N=3328). Our findings show that citizen deliberation is highly effective in correcting public misperceptions about the origin of the virus and is as effective as an expert correction when the expert correction explicitly asserts a scientific consensus. Our findings suggest that deliberative forums may be a promising avenue for addressing misperceptions about politicised knowledge while contributing to the health of democracies.
Scaling Up? Unpacking the Effect of Deliberative Mini-Publics on Legitimacy Perceptions
Uploads
Papers by Lala Muradova