Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 61%
Elmano de Freitas 40%
Eduardo Girão 1.0%
Camilo Santana <1%
$121,957 Vol.
$121,957 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
61%
Elmano de Freitas
40%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 61%
Elmano de Freitas 40%
Eduardo Girão 1.0%
Camilo Santana <1%
$121,957 Vol.
$121,957 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
$71,204 Vol.
61%
Elmano de Freitas
$20,999 Vol.
40%
Eduardo Girão
$8,490 Vol.
1%
Camilo Santana
$6,280 Vol.
1%
Capitão Wagner
$8,071 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$6,914 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, driven by consistent first-round polling advantages of 43–48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33–35% in recent Genial/Quaest, Datafolha, and Ipsos-Ipec surveys. Gomes’s return to state politics after two decades, emphasis on opposition alliances, and criticism of the current administration have consolidated support among center-right and anti-PT voters. De Freitas, elected in 2022, faces headwinds from these trends and limited movement in his numbers despite launching his reelection bid. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) register negligible support, while the first-round vote on October 4 and potential runoff dynamics reinforce Gomes’s favored position in market assessments of the outcome.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.