$27,134,752 Vol.
pada 31 Desember 2026
$2,733,230 Vol.
4%
$27,134,752 Vol.
pada 31 Desember 2026
4%
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Bitcoin supply overhang emerges as institutional demand wanes
A $4.4 billion Bitcoin supply overhang emerged as institutional demand weakened, with Bitcoin nearing 2024 lows and options traders paying up for downside protection. This contributed to the market's bearish outlook and low probability of Bitcoin hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Bitcoin price remains near $60,000 amid bearish market sentiment
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
As of late June 2026, Bitcoin was trading near $60,000 with bearish technical indicators and low market confidence in a rapid price surge to $150k. This sustained bearish sentiment further lowered the probability of hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Research turns decisively bearish as Bitcoin slides below $60,000
Following the June sell-off, published research overwhelmingly adopted a bearish near-term outlook, citing technical breakdowns and potential forced selling by major holders like MicroStrategy. However, some conditional bull cases remain, dependent on macroeconomic shifts.
MicroStrategy announces $2 billion stock buyback and Bitcoin monetization program
by December 31, 2026 dips to 4%1%
MicroStrategy's large stock buyback and Bitcoin monetization plan introduced potential selling pressure from a major Bitcoin holder, negatively impacting market sentiment and reducing the likelihood of Bitcoin hitting $150k by year-end.
Bitcoin trades around $60,000, down roughly 50% from October 2025 peak
by December 31, 2026 dips to 4%1%
As of late June 2026, Bitcoin was trading near $60,000, about 50% below its October 2025 peak of $126,000, reflecting a prolonged bear market correction. Market expectations for hitting $150k by mid-2026 diminished, with a potential bottom anticipated only in Q3-Q4 2026.
Analysts forecast Bitcoin bottom between October and December 2026 with $150k target
Based on historical cycles and on-chain data, analysts projected Bitcoin's bear market bottom to form in late 2026, followed by a recovery phase potentially driving prices to $150,000 by year-end. This outlook reflects institutional accumulation and structural drivers for a bull run.
Bitcoin Drops Below $60,000 Following Hot PCE Inflation Report
by December 31, 2026 dips to 4%1%
Bitcoin fell back below the $60,000 mark after May's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report showed inflation rising to a three-year high, dampening hopes of Fed rate cuts.
Bitcoin price faces headwinds, trading near $61,000 support level
by December 31, 2026 dips to 5%1%
By late June 2026, Bitcoin was trading around $61,000 with significant downward pressure, causing investors to question the near-term upside potential. This contributed to the probability of hitting $150k by December 31, 2026, falling further to 5%.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs experience $113.8 million net outflows
by December 31, 2026 dips to 4%1%
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw significant net outflows, marking the fourth consecutive session of negative flows. This capital flight contributed to bearish sentiment and further diminished confidence in Bitcoin reaching $150k by the end of 2026.
Bitcoin Price Nears $62,500 Amid Neutral Market Sentiment
by December 31, 2026 dips to 4%1%
Bitcoin traded around $62,500 with neutral market indicators and no major bullish catalysts, reflecting subdued investor confidence and contributing to the decline in probability for hitting $150k by December 31, 2026.
Bitcoin Price Drops to 21-Month Low Near $59,000 Amid Market Headwinds
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Bitcoin fell to its lowest level since September 2024, trading around $59,000 amid broader market uncertainty and selling pressure. This decline reflected skepticism about a near-term surge to $150k, pushing the probability of hitting $150k by June 30, 2026 to near zero and lowering confidence in the earlier bullish outlooks.
Crypto community objects to CLARITY Act provisions
Certain crypto groups raised objections to parts of the CLARITY Act, particularly regarding the classification of non-custodial blockchain developers. This controversy contributed to ongoing regulatory uncertainty, which weighed on Bitcoin's price and market sentiment in late June.
Bitcoin price briefly rises amid mixed economic signals
Bitcoin rose to about $60,500 amid mixed economic data and fading debasement trade narratives, but remained down over the past month. This short-term price uptick did not significantly alter the market's low confidence in reaching $150k by mid-2026.
Cardone Capital buys $18M in Bitcoin, signaling corporate adoption
by December 31, 2026 dips to 5%1%
A real estate firm, Cardone Capital, purchased $18 million worth of Bitcoin, indicating continued corporate treasury adoption. This institutional interest supports long-term bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, though it had limited immediate impact on the short-term price target probabilities.
BlackRock becomes third-largest Bitcoin holder, signaling institutional interest
by December 31, 2026 dips to 5%1%
On June 18, 2026, BlackRock increased its Bitcoin holdings to approximately 764,000 BTC, indicating strong institutional entrenchment despite overall bearish market sentiment.
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, signals possible hikes ahead
Yes dips to 4%2%
On June 17, 2026, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.5%-3.75% but signaled a hawkish outlook with potential rate hikes later in the year. This stance maintained macroeconomic headwinds and limited bullish momentum for Bitcoin, negatively affecting short-term price targets such as hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Federal Reserve Holds Rates and Erases 2026 Rate Cuts From Dot Plot
by December 31, 2026 dips to 6%1%
Under new chair Kevin Warsh, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.5% to 3.75% and removed the easing-bias language from its statement. The hawkish shift and erasure of projected 2026 rate cuts strengthened the dollar and further depressed non-yielding assets like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin price jumps on US-Iran deal and $100 million MicroStrategy purchase
On June 16, Bitcoin surged above $66,000 following a geopolitical thaw with a US-Iran memorandum and a significant $100 million Bitcoin purchase by MicroStrategy. This event boosted market risk appetite and institutional demand, improving sentiment for Bitcoin hitting $150k by the end of 2026.
Bitcoin price stabilizes near $65,000 with neutral market momentum
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
In mid-June 2026, Bitcoin traded around $65,000 with neutral-to-bullish short-term momentum, but overall market sentiment remained cautious. This was reflected in the probability for hitting $150k by June 30, 2026, dropping to 0%, and by December 31, 2026, declining further to 5%.
Trump Administration Announces US-Iran Peace Agreement, Reopening Strait of Hormuz
by December 31, 2026 dips to 6%2%
A formal peace agreement between the US and Iran resolved maritime supply disruption fears, triggering a broad risk-asset rally and lifting Bitcoin's price by over 2%.
BlackRock and Other Giants Apply for Bitcoin Spot ETFs
On June 15, BlackRock, the largest asset manager globally, announced plans to apply for a Bitcoin Spot ETF, followed by other major firms like Fidelity and Wisdom Tree. This surge in institutional interest and ETF applications was seen as a strong bullish catalyst, potentially driving Bitcoin prices higher and supporting the $150k target by year-end.
Bitcoin Surges to $67,000 Following Trump-Iran Peace Deal Announcement
A breakthrough peace agreement between President Trump and Iran sent risk assets higher, helping Bitcoin recover to $67,000 and stabilizing the prediction market's year-end odds.
BlackRock announces plans to apply for Bitcoin Spot ETF
The announcement by BlackRock, the largest asset manager, to apply for a Bitcoin Spot ETF was a bullish catalyst expected to increase institutional inflows and support Bitcoin's price. However, the market reaction was muted, and the probability of hitting $150k did not significantly increase.
Bitcoin trading range between $65,200 and $66,000 signals neutral market sentiment
by December 31, 2026 dips to 5%2%
In mid-June 2026, Bitcoin traded in a narrow range with neutral RSI and moving averages, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. This neutral technical environment contributed to the market's reduced probability of Bitcoin reaching $150k by either June or December 2026.
Bitcoin mining difficulty falls 10.09%, boosting miner profitability
by December 31, 2026 dips to 6%1%
On June 14, 2026, Bitcoin's mining difficulty dropped significantly, improving miner profitability amid market stress. However, this technical improvement did not translate into increased bullish sentiment for hitting $150k by year-end, as probabilities continued to decline.
Bitcoin trades near $64k driven by institutional ETF inflows
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
Bitcoin was trading around $64,000 in mid-June 2026, primarily driven by a return of institutional demand via spot ETF inflows. Despite this, the prediction market prices for hitting $150k remained very low, reflecting cautious market sentiment.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs Record Third Consecutive Day of Outflows
by June 30, 2026 plunges to 0%64%
ETF outflows of $77.44 million on June 9, 2026, removed buying pressure from the market and contributed to bearish momentum as institutional demand weakened.
Bitcoin ETFs Lose $2.1B in June as BlackRock IBIT Outflows Deepen
Bitcoin ETFs faced renewed pressure in June with $2.1 billion in outflows, led by BlackRock's IBIT which posted its longest withdrawal streak since October 2025. This sustained institutional selling amid fragile sentiment capped Bitcoin's price recovery and lowered market confidence in reaching $150k by year-end.
Bitcoin price near 2026 lows after crash
by June 30, 2026 drops to 0%8%
Bitcoin plunged below $62,000, reaching near February 2026 lows, with year-to-date decline of 30% after 13 days of ETF outflows.
Order book data indicates potential Bitcoin rally toward $70K
by December 31, 2026 dips to 6%1%
Market structure analysis revealed buy-side dominance and a key liquidity cluster, suggesting bullish momentum and possible price recovery. This supported renewed optimism for Bitcoin's price growth later in 2026, reinforcing the possibility of reaching $150k by December 31, 2026.
Standard Chartered declares crypto winter over, cycle low likely at $59K
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%3%
Standard Chartered's global head of digital assets research declared that Bitcoin likely found its cycle low at $59,000, marking a major sentiment shift. This announcement provided some bullish sentiment but did not significantly revive the prediction market prices for $150k by mid-2026.
Bitcoin price prediction sentiment turns bearish
by December 31, 2026 drops to 6%5%
Multiple price prediction models updated to bearish outlook for Bitcoin in 2026, citing technical indicators and market conditions.
Bitcoin price rebounds 3.4% after Trump claims war has ended
Following President Trump's statement about a possible end to conflict, Bitcoin prices rebounded by 3.4%, reflecting improved risk sentiment and temporary relief in the market, though not enough to significantly alter mid-year price forecasts.
Bitcoin price surges 3% after Trump cancels planned strikes on Iran
by June 30, 2026 rises to 3%2%
Following news that President Trump canceled planned military strikes on Iran and a potential peace deal, Bitcoin surged 3% from $61,100 to over $63,400. This geopolitical de-escalation improved risk sentiment but was insufficient to sustain a strong rally toward $150K by mid-2026.
Bitcoin price surges 3% after Trump cancels planned strikes on Iran
Following news that President Trump canceled planned military strikes on Iran, Bitcoin's price surged 3% on June 11, 2026, from $61,100 to over $63,400. This geopolitical development temporarily boosted market sentiment but did not significantly alter the overall downward trend in probabilities for hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Japan approves new crypto regulatory framework to stabilize market
Japan's House of Representatives approved amendments to financial laws on June 11, 2026, reclassifying cryptocurrencies under the same regulatory framework as stocks. This regulatory clarity is expected to attract capital inflows and stabilize Bitcoin prices, supporting the possibility of reaching $150k by the end of 2026.
Bitcoin price falls below $60,000 amid bearish market sentiment
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Bitcoin's price dropped below $60,000 in early June 2026, reflecting bearish technical indicators such as oversold RSI and negative MACD. This decline further reduced confidence in Bitcoin reaching $150k by June 30, 2026, pushing the probability to 0%.
Bitcoin's weekly RSI approaches historically important bottom levels
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Technical analysis showed Bitcoin's weekly RSI nearing levels that historically mark market bottoms, suggesting the current correction phase might be nearing its end. However, momentum remained weak, indicating continued bearish sentiment and low probability of hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Geopolitical tensions and inflation fears weigh on Bitcoin
Rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, combined with inflation concerns and a stronger dollar, pressured Bitcoin prices. These macro factors contributed to risk-off sentiment, further suppressing Bitcoin's price and investor confidence.
Nasdaq-listed firm Fold sells $45M in Bitcoin to clear debt
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Fold, a Nasdaq-listed company, sold $45 million worth of Bitcoin at around $71,000 to repay loans and fund expansion. This institutional selling contributed to market caution and price consolidation, negatively impacting short-term price outlooks.
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record Third Consecutive Day of Outflows
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced $77.44 million in net outflows on June 9, extending a 10-day streak of nearly $3 billion in redemptions that severely reduced buying pressure and dragged Bitcoin prices down.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs record third consecutive day of outflows
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 9, 2026, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant outflows totaling $77.44 million, led by BlackRock's IBIT fund. This outflow reflected waning investor confidence and contributed to a decline in Bitcoin price probabilities for hitting $150k by mid-2026.
Bitcoin ETFs Continue Outflows Amid Hawkish Fed Expectations and Capital Rotation
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 9, Bitcoin ETFs recorded $77.4 million in outflows amid hawkish Federal Reserve expectations and institutional capital rotation into AI and semiconductor sectors. This ongoing risk-off sentiment further pressured Bitcoin's price and diminished chances of hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Bitcoin price hits lowest level since November 2024, erasing post-Trump rally gains
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Bitcoin dropped below $74,000 in June 2026, marking a new low for the year and erasing gains from the January rally, reflecting ongoing market weakness and skepticism about reaching $150k by mid-2026.
Strategy's Bitcoin Sale and ETF Outflows Weigh on Market Sentiment
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
The disclosure of Bitcoin sales by Strategy and continued ETF outflows in early June 2026 contributed to bearish sentiment, pushing Bitcoin prices near 2026 lows and reducing confidence in near-term price rallies.
Bitcoin $150,000 Price Target Seen as Attainable by Year-End
by December 31, 2026 dips to 6%1%
Analysts and market commentators reiterated that a Bitcoin price of $150,000 before the end of 2026 is achievable given continued supply constraints, institutional interest, and a favorable macro environment. This statement reinforced bullish sentiment but did not immediately reverse the short-term price decline.
Bernstein reaffirms bullish $150,000 Bitcoin forecast despite mid-year correction
Despite recent price declines and institutional selling, Bernstein maintained a bullish outlook for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 in 2026, citing institutional depth and potential for renewed rallies, supporting the year-end $150k target probabilities.
Bitcoin shows buying pressure, surging toward $63,000 amid accumulation
By June 7, 2026, Bitcoin faced buying pressure and minor accumulation after prior declines, with price surging toward $63,000. This suggested potential for recovery and renewed optimism for longer-term price targets including $150k by year-end.
Bitcoin price falls to near 7% market probability for hitting $150k by year-end
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
By June 2026, Bitcoin's market probability of reaching $150k by December 31, 2026, dropped to 7%, reflecting sustained bearish trends, lack of bullish catalysts, and continued market skepticism about a near-term price surge.
Bitcoin Plunges Below $62,000 Triggering Massive Long Liquidations
Bitcoin breached the critical $62,000 support level, leading to $1.5 billion in leveraged long liquidations amid accelerating ETF outflows and geopolitical tensions.
Bitcoin ETFs end record 13-day outflow streak with minimal inflow
On June 5, 2026, US spot Bitcoin ETFs ended a record 13-day streak of net outflows with a small net inflow of $3.05 million, led by BlackRock's IBIT. Although the inflow was minimal, it marked a potential turning point after sustained selling pressure, slightly improving sentiment for Bitcoin's price outlook by December 31, 2026.
Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $4.4 Billion in 13-Day Record as Price Drops 21%
by December 31, 2026 drops to 7%5%
Between mid-May and early June, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded 13 consecutive days of outflows totaling $4.4 billion, coinciding with a 21% drop in Bitcoin's price. This sustained selling pressure reflected waning institutional demand and increased selling by long-term holders, severely reducing the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $150k by year-end.
Bitcoin crashes to $59,100 amid record $1.75B liquidations and ETF outflows
Bitcoin experienced its worst week of 2026, falling over 20% in seven days due to overlapping pressures including ETF outflows, institutional selling, and leveraged futures liquidations. This cascade of selling intensified bearish sentiment and pushed prices to multi-month lows.
Bitcoin price plunges below $60,000, lowest since October 2024
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 5, 2026, Bitcoin price dropped below $60,000, marking its lowest level since October 2024, reflecting intensified bearish sentiment and confirming the market's rejection of the $150k target within the timeframe.
Bitcoin trades near $62,000 amid mixed market sentiment and regulatory progress
By early June 2026, Bitcoin traded around $62,000 with mixed market sentiment. Regulatory clarity and institutional adoption continued to influence price, but bearish technical indicators and macro uncertainties kept probabilities for $150k low.
Launch of ESG-focused Bitcoin ETF offers bullish counter-narrative amid sell-off
The new ESG Bitcoin ETF launched on the NYSE provided some support to Bitcoin prices during a broader market sell-off, helping to stabilize sentiment slightly despite ongoing downward pressure.
Bitcoin Breaches Critical $62,000 Support Level Following Strong Jobs Report
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
A stronger-than-expected May jobs report sent Treasury yields higher, compounding the sell-off triggered by Strategy and forcing massive liquidations of leveraged long positions.
Bitcoin Plunges Toward $60,000 as AI Boom Drains Capital from Crypto Markets
Analysts and prominent maximalists noted that massive capital rotation into artificial intelligence infrastructure and tech equities drained vital liquidity from Bitcoin, driving its price down.
Massive $2.7 billion outflow from US spot Bitcoin ETFs pressures price
by June 30, 2026 drops to 0%8%
In early June 2026, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a loss of $2.7 billion in one week, contributing to Bitcoin's price decline below $62,000. This outflow intensified selling pressure and shifted investor interest toward other sectors, further reducing confidence in Bitcoin reaching $150k by mid or end 2026.
Crypto market suffers largest liquidation since October amid ETF outflows and macro fears
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 4, Bitcoin fell below $64,000 amid continued ETF outflows, whale selling, and macroeconomic uncertainty. This led to the largest crypto derivatives liquidation event since October, increasing market fear and pushing Bitcoin prices down, reducing confidence in a near-term $150k rally by June 30, 2026.
Bitcoin Plunges Below $63,000 Following Hotter Inflation Data and Liquidations
A hotter-than-expected May CPI report showing 4.2% inflation dashed hopes of Fed rate cuts, triggering over $3 billion in leveraged liquidations and pushing Bitcoin to near $61,300.
Bitcoin Plunges Below $64,000 Amid Macro Fears and 13-Day ETF Outflow Streak
Bitcoin fell sharply from its intraweek high of $72,840 to around $64,100, driven by persistent inflation concerns, interest rate uncertainty, and a continuous 13-day streak of ETF outflows.
Bitcoin price falls below $65,000 amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic concerns
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 4, 2026, Bitcoin traded around $64,100 after failing to hold support near $74,000, driven by ETF outflows, profit-taking, and macroeconomic uncertainty, further depressing the 'by June 30, 2026' outcome probability.
Bitcoin ETFs face 13-day outflow streak
by June 30, 2026 drops to 0%7%
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with nearly $2.3 billion in net outflows, dragging Bitcoin price down sharply.
Bitcoin Price Drops Below $64,000 Amid ETF Outflows and Macro Uncertainty
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%2%
Bitcoin's price fell below $64,000 due to ongoing ETF outflows, profit-taking, and macroeconomic concerns including inflation and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty. This decline triggered over $1.1 billion in liquidations, further dampening market confidence in near-term price targets.
Strategy Sells 32 BTC, Triggering Market Sell-Off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 1, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) disclosed selling 32 BTC for $2.5 million to fund dividends, breaking a long-standing assumption that it would not sell. This sale, combined with ongoing ETF outflows and geopolitical tensions, intensified selling pressure and contributed to Bitcoin's price decline, reducing the likelihood of hitting $150k by mid-2026.
U.S. Senate Advances Clarity Act, Offering Regulatory Clarity for Crypto
The U.S. Senate Banking Committee advanced the Clarity Act on June 4, aiming to establish clear regulatory rules for digital assets and divide oversight between the SEC and CFTC. While this initially boosted market sentiment, it was insufficient to offset bearish ETF outflows and geopolitical risks, limiting Bitcoin's price recovery prospects within 2026.
Bitcoin price falls below $62,000 amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic uncertainty
Yes dips to 0%1%
Bitcoin breached the critical $62,000 support level, triggering $1.5 billion in long liquidations and signaling a broad risk-off sentiment. This intensified selling pressure further diminished the likelihood of reaching $150k by mid-2026 and pressured year-end expectations.
Bitcoin price falls below $63,000 amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic concerns
by December 31, 2026 dips to 4%3%
Bitcoin's price dropped below $63,000 for the first time since February 2026, driven by continued ETF outflows, Strategy's Bitcoin sale, inflation worries, and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty, intensifying market volatility and bearish sentiment.
Bitcoin Plunges to $64,100 Amid Sticky Inflation and Fed Rate Cut Uncertainty
Bitcoin fell over 12% in a week, dropping to $64,100 as traders reacted to persistent inflation concerns and fading expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Bitcoin Price Drops Below $62,000 Triggering Over $1.5B in Crypto Liquidations
by June 30, 2026 drops to 0%8%
Bitcoin's price fell below $62,000 amid heavy ETF outflows and leveraged liquidations exceeding $1.5 billion. This sharp price drop reflected weakening institutional demand and increased market volatility, further lowering the probability of Bitcoin reaching $150k by mid-2026.
U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record Unprecedented 13-Day Outflow Streak
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs logged a record-setting 13 consecutive trading days of net outflows totaling over $4.3 billion, signaling a sharp decline in institutional demand and driving Bitcoin's price below $63,000.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs see 13 consecutive days of net outflows totaling $4.4 billion
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
By early June 2026, US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a record 13-day streak of net outflows totaling approximately $4.4 billion. This sustained selling pressure contributed to Bitcoin's price decline and dampened short-term bullish expectations.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs experience record 13-day outflow streak totaling $4.4 billion
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs saw continuous net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $4.4 billion. This unprecedented outflow coincided with a nearly 20% Bitcoin price decline since mid-May, exerting significant downward pressure on the market.
Bitcoin market slumps amid continued ETF outflows and broader crypto sell-off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 4, cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin fell sharply amid ongoing ETF outflows and market-wide declines, pushing Bitcoin prices toward key support levels and dampening short-term bullish momentum.
Bitcoin Price Drops Below $64,000 Triggering $1.1B Liquidations
Bitcoin's price fell below $64,000 on June 4, triggering over $1.1 billion in liquidations and reflecting heightened market volatility and risk-off sentiment. This price drop was linked to ongoing ETF outflows and macroeconomic uncertainty, further reducing the likelihood of Bitcoin hitting $150k by year-end.
Bitcoin price plunges below $62,000 triggering over $1.5 billion in liquidations
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%3%
Bitcoin briefly dropped below $62,000, causing massive leveraged liquidations exceeding $1.5 billion and signaling a broad risk-off sentiment. This sharp decline reflected waning institutional demand and macroeconomic concerns, further depressing price probabilities for mid-2026 targets.
Michael Saylor Confirms MicroStrategy Sold Bitcoin to Pay Dividend
Michael Saylor confirmed that MicroStrategy offloaded 32 bitcoin to pay a dividend, sending shockwaves through the market and driving the crypto fear and greed index into extreme fear.
Bitcoin prices slump after Strategy sells bitcoin holdings amid ETF outflows
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%2%
Cryptocurrency treasury company Strategy's sale of Bitcoin holdings triggered a selloff, coinciding with significant ETF outflows and causing Bitcoin prices to fall to their lowest levels since early April, dampening short-term prospects for hitting $150k by mid-2026.
Bitcoin RSI momentum gauge hints at recovery but experts remain cautious
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 3, 2026, technical indicators such as the RSI suggested Bitcoin might be oversold and poised for a recovery, but experts remained cautious due to prevailing bearish market conditions and recent sharp declines.
U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Conclude Record 13-Day Outflow Streak Shedding $4.4 Billion
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced their longest consecutive withdrawal streak on record from May 15 to June 3, removing $4.33 billion in capital. This massive institutional exit severely weakened Bitcoin's marginal bid and dragged prices down toward four-month lows.
MicroStrategy Sells Bitcoin Sparking Market Correction Fears
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy surprised the market by offloading a portion of its Bitcoin holdings, triggering fears of deeper corrections and driving down high-end price targets.
Sudden $2 trillion crypto price crash sparks Bitcoin panic and extreme fear
by June 30, 2026 dips to 7%1%
A steep selloff in early June 2026 pushed Bitcoin below $70,000, intensifying market fear and volatility. This crash was exacerbated by large institutional sell-offs and ETF redemptions, further reducing confidence in a near-term $150k price target and lowering the probability of reaching it by June 30.
Bitcoin ETFs Hit $519 Million Outflows Amid $1.3 Billion Crypto Liquidations
by June 30, 2026 dips to 1%1%
On June 3, Bitcoin ETFs saw $519 million in outflows, driven by large redemptions from major funds like BlackRock and Grayscale. This institutional selling triggered over $1.3 billion in forced liquidations, exacerbating Bitcoin's price decline and dampening prospects for a $150k price by mid-2026.
Bitcoin Slides to Four-Month Low Amid ETF Outflows and Strategy Sale
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Bitcoin fell below $67,000 following heavy spot ETF redemptions and a surprise disclosure that Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold 32 BTC, its first sale since 2022.
Bitcoin faces sharp correction amid $900 million derivative liquidations
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%4%
Bitcoin dropped below $75,000 on June 3, 2026, triggering over $900 million in derivative liquidations and a surge in volatility, which dampened short-term market sentiment and reduced the likelihood of hitting $150k by mid-year.
Strategy sells Bitcoin holdings, triggering market sell-off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold a portion of its Bitcoin holdings in early June, marking its first sale in years. This unexpected move intensified selling pressure, contributing to a sharp price decline and increased market volatility, negatively affecting short-term prospects for Bitcoin reaching $150k by June 30, 2026.
Bitcoin ETFs Record $396.6M Outflow, Extending 13-Day Streak
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 3, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $396.6 million in outflows, marking the 13th consecutive day of net redemptions and reducing total assets from $104.3 billion to $82.8 billion since mid-May. BlackRock's IBIT was responsible for 86% of the day's outflows, intensifying selling pressure and contributing to bearish sentiment on Bitcoin's price reaching $150k by mid-2026.
Bitcoin ETFs Record $396.6M Outflow, Extending 13-Day Streak
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $396.6 million in outflows on June 3, marking the 13th consecutive day of net withdrawals, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for 86% of redemptions. This sustained selling pressure exacerbated Bitcoin's price decline and lowered market confidence.
Bitcoin price plunges below $64,000 amid ETF outflows and liquidations
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Bitcoin’s price dropped below $64,000 on June 3, 2026, triggering $1.1 billion in liquidations. This was driven by large outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and waning investor confidence, pushing the probability of hitting $150k by mid-2026 to near zero.
Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale and ETF Outflows Trigger Price Drop
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%3%
On June 3, 2026, Bitcoin's price dropped below $66,000, its lowest since early April, due to Strategy’s Bitcoin sale and $2.7 billion in ETF outflows within a week. This caused significant downward pressure on Bitcoin's price, reducing the likelihood of hitting $150K by June 30, 2026.
Michael Saylor's Strategy Discloses Bitcoin Sale, Triggering Market Correction
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
MicroStrategy (operating as Strategy) surprised the market by offloading 32 bitcoin to fund its monthly dividend, sparking a sharp correction and souring investor sentiment.
Strategy's Bitcoin sale intensifies 2026 price slump amid macro uncertainty
by June 30, 2026 dips to 5%2%
MicroStrategy's Strategy sold a small amount of Bitcoin, intensifying the 2026 price decline and fueling bearish sentiment. Combined with sticky inflation, Federal Reserve rate uncertainty, and ETF outflows, this event contributed to Bitcoin's slump to new lows and reduced odds of hitting $150k in 2026.
Bitcoin price heads back towards support around $62,000
By June 3, 2026, Bitcoin was trading near $62,000, moving back towards support levels after a period of sideways trading. This price action reflected market uncertainty and limited upside momentum, reducing confidence in hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Bitcoin ETFs Record $1.44 Billion Outflow in Largest Weekly Withdrawal of 2026
by December 31, 2026 dips to 8%3%
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a record $1.44 billion outflow in the week ending June 2, part of a three-week cumulative $4.21 billion withdrawal. This heavy institutional selling pressure coincided with Bitcoin's price decline, reducing market confidence in a near-term $150k price target.
Strategy Discloses Bitcoin Sale Triggering Market Concern
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Cryptocurrency treasury company Strategy revealed it sold a small portion of its Bitcoin holdings, sparking fears of institutional distribution and triggering a broader market sell-off.
Google Sets $80 Billion Capital Raise as AI Boom Draws Capital Away From Crypto
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
Google announced a massive $80 billion capital raise, highlighting a major shift of market liquidity into the booming AI sector and away from digital assets like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin crashes below $62,000 triggering $1.5B in long liquidations
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%3%
On June 2, 2026, Bitcoin experienced a violent crash below $62,000, causing over $1.5 billion in long liquidations within hours, marking one of the largest liquidation events of 2026 and signaling a broad risk-off shift in the market.
Strategy sells Bitcoin holdings, triggering market sell-off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%3%
In early June 2026, cryptocurrency treasury company Strategy sold a small amount of its Bitcoin holdings as part of a dividend plan, intensifying the market sell-off and contributing to Bitcoin prices falling below $66,000, negatively impacting the 'by June 30, 2026' outcome.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy fund sells Bitcoin, triggering market sell-off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 1%1%
On June 2, 2026, Michael Saylor’s Strategy fund announced a $2.5 million Bitcoin sale, its first in over three years, triggering $320 million in leveraged-long liquidations and a sharp price drop below $70,000, dampening short-term bullish sentiment.
Bitcoin dips below $66,000 amid ETF outflows and wallet activity
by December 31, 2026 dips to 5%3%
In early June 2026, Bitcoin dropped below $66,000, its lowest since early April, influenced by institutional ETF outflows and activity from Mt. Gox wallets, further dampening short-term price prospects.
Mt. Gox Moves 10,422 BTC Raising Supply Pressure Concerns
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
The movement of a large amount of Bitcoin from the defunct Mt. Gox exchange on June 2, 2026, raised fears of imminent creditor distribution and near-term supply pressure, negatively impacting market sentiment.
Bitcoin price crashes amid $2 trillion crypto market selloff, volatility spikes
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
On June 2, Bitcoin faced a steep selloff amid a $2 trillion crypto market crash, with volatility surging nearly 20%, causing a sharp drop in price and a collapse in probabilities for hitting $150k by mid-year.
Long-term funds quietly accumulate Bitcoin at $72K
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
On June 2, 2026, reports indicated that long-term funds were accumulating Bitcoin via OTC trades around $72,000, viewing current prices as strategic for an 18-month horizon. This accumulation suggested some confidence in Bitcoin's medium-term prospects despite short-term bearish trends.
Bitcoin Slumps Below $70,000 Following Strategy's Token Sale and ETF Outflows
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%2%
Bitcoin fell below the key $70,000 threshold for the first time since April as the market reacted to Strategy's divestment and accelerating institutional outflows.
Mt. Gox Moves $739 Million in Bitcoin, Sparking Market Volatility
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
The defunct cryptocurrency exchange Mt. Gox moved 10,422 Bitcoin, its largest transfer in months, raising concerns of impending creditor liquidations and putting downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Mt. Gox Moves $739 Million in Bitcoin as Creditor Repayments Loom
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
The defunct Mt. Gox exchange transferred 10,422 BTC from cold storage to new addresses, sparking fears of imminent creditor liquidations and putting downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Bitcoin Drops Below $70,000 as Massive May ETF Outflows and Saylor Selling Rumors Spook Traders
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Bitcoin fell to its lowest open since April as institutions closed May with the largest monthly ETF outflows of the year, combined with social media panic over MicroStrategy selling.
Bitcoin price peaks above $71,000 driven by institutional ETF approvals
by December 31, 2026 rises to 11%3%
Bitcoin surged to over $71,000 in early June 2026, fueled by institutional ETF approvals and growing adoption, temporarily lifting market confidence and increasing optimism for higher price targets later in the year.
Strategy Sells Bitcoin for First Time in Years, Sparking Market Sell-Off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Strategy's announcement and execution of selling 32 BTC triggered a sharp market sell-off, intensifying bearish sentiment and ETF outflows. This event contributed to a significant drop in Bitcoin price and lowered the probability of hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Clarity Act Reported to Full Senate, Entering Critical Phase for Crypto Regulation
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act was officially reported to the Senate by Senator Tim Scott, marking a major milestone for establishing a clear regulatory framework for digital assets in the US.
Strategy sells 32 Bitcoin worth $2.5 million, sparking market concerns
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%2%
Strategy disclosed selling 32 BTC in late May 2026, its first Bitcoin sale since 2022, triggering negative sentiment, a drop in Strategy's stock, and contributing to Bitcoin's price decline below $70,000.
Michael Saylor's Strategy Discloses First Net Bitcoin Sale in Four Years to Fund Dividends
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
Strategy filed an 8-K showing it sold 32 bitcoins for $2.5 million to fund dividend payments, triggering a psychological shock and a sharp sell-off across the crypto market.
Bitcoin futures show growing risk appetite despite price drop
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Despite Bitcoin's price dropping to around $63,000, futures data showed mildly bullish positioning and steady open interest, indicating institutional risk appetite was stabilizing. This mixed signal contributed to the continued low market probability for hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
MicroStrategy sells 32 BTC for first time in four years, rattling market
MicroStrategy's symbolic sale of 32 Bitcoin, despite being economically small, broke its long-standing 'never sell' policy, triggering market panic and contributing to a sharp price decline. This event undermined confidence in institutional holders and intensified selling pressure.
MicroStrategy Discloses First Bitcoin Sale in SEC Filing
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
Michael Saylor's Strategy disclosed in an 8-K filing that it sold 32 BTC in late May to fund preferred stock distributions, triggering market concern and a resolution dispute on prediction markets.
MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin, signaling institutional bearishness
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
MicroStrategy's first-ever sale of Bitcoin disclosed in early June negatively impacted market sentiment, contributing to price declines and diminishing the likelihood of Bitcoin hitting $150k by June 30, 2026.
Strategy Discloses First Publicized Bitcoin Sale, Sparking Market Sell-Off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Corporate treasury giant Strategy revealed it sold a small portion of its Bitcoin holdings, triggering a massive wave of liquidations and driving Bitcoin prices down.
Strategy Sells $2.5 Million in Bitcoin in First Sale Since 2022
by December 31, 2026 dips to 6%1%
Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 32 coins to fund preferred stock dividend obligations, breaking its 'never sell' mantra and severely cracking investor confidence.
Strategy sells 32 BTC worth $2.5 million, triggering market concern
by December 31, 2026 dips to 8%2%
Michael Saylor announced that Strategy sold 32 BTC to fund dividend payments, causing market concern and a sell-off. This event contributed to a sharp decline in Bitcoin price and reduced confidence in the highest price targets, negatively impacting the probability of Bitcoin hitting $150k by December 31, 2026.
MicroStrategy Sells Bitcoin for First Time in Years Amid Massive ETF Outflows
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
Rumors and subsequent confirmation of MicroStrategy selling a portion of its Bitcoin holdings triggered a massive market sell-off and accelerated capital outflows from U.S. spot ETFs.
Bitcoin Sentiment Peaks Amidst Record ETF Outflows
Despite spot Bitcoin ETFs losing nearly $3 billion since mid-May, social media sentiment for Bitcoin surged to a 2.23-to-1 bullish-to-bearish ratio on June 1, the highest in 2026. This disconnect suggested heightened risk of a short-term price pullback, undermining confidence in Bitcoin hitting $150k by mid or end 2026.
Rumors of MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin Trigger Massive ETF Outflows
by June 30, 2026 dips to 0%1%
Market rumors that MicroStrategy sold Bitcoin for the first time in years exacerbated capital outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, leading to a sharp decline in market confidence.
Crypto treasury company Strategy sells Bitcoin for first time in over three years
by June 30, 2026 dips to 1%1%
Strategy, a major Bitcoin holder, sold 32 BTC valued at approximately $2.47 million, marking its first sale in over three years. This move intensified market sell-off pressure and contributed to declining Bitcoin prices and bearish sentiment in early June.
MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin for first time in years, sparking market sell-off
by June 30, 2026 dips to 5%2%
Rumors and confirmation of MicroStrategy's sale of 32 Bitcoin triggered intensified selling pressure, exacerbating outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and causing further price declines and market panic.
Global Crypto ETFs Suffer Massive $1.67 Billion Weekly Outflow
by December 31, 2026 dips to 7%1%
Global cryptocurrency exchange-traded products recorded their second-largest weekly outflow of 2026, driven by a $1.42 billion withdrawal from US spot Bitcoin ETFs.