Jim Schwartzel leads the FL-19 Republican primary field in trader consensus primarily because of his local Southwest Florida media background, donor fundraising totals exceeding $1.9 million, and consistent top positioning in available polling amid a crowded open-seat contest. Catalina Lauf has gained ground through strong quarterly hauls and endorsements while highlighting contrasts with self-funded opponents. Jim Oberweis remains competitive via millions in personal loans but trails in local name recognition. Madison Cawthorn, Bob Rommel, and Spencer Roach register lower probabilities due to limited recent momentum or fundraising relative to the frontrunners. The August 18 primary occurs in a solidly Republican district where the nominee is expected to prevail in November, with late undecided voters and ad spending as key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжим Швартцель 50.8%
Каталина Лауф 30%
Джим Обервейс 18.2%
Мэдисон Котторн 3.6%
$43,309 Объем
$43,309 Объем
Джим Швартцель
51%
Каталина Лауф
30%
Джим Обервейс
18%
Мэдисон Котторн
4%
Боб Роммел
2%
Спенсер Роч
1%
Джим Швартцель 50.8%
Каталина Лауф 30%
Джим Обервейс 18.2%
Мэдисон Котторн 3.6%
$43,309 Объем
$43,309 Объем
Джим Швартцель
51%
Каталина Лауф
30%
Джим Обервейс
18%
Мэдисон Котторн
4%
Боб Роммел
2%
Спенсер Роч
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Schwartzel leads the FL-19 Republican primary field in trader consensus primarily because of his local Southwest Florida media background, donor fundraising totals exceeding $1.9 million, and consistent top positioning in available polling amid a crowded open-seat contest. Catalina Lauf has gained ground through strong quarterly hauls and endorsements while highlighting contrasts with self-funded opponents. Jim Oberweis remains competitive via millions in personal loans but trails in local name recognition. Madison Cawthorn, Bob Rommel, and Spencer Roach register lower probabilities due to limited recent momentum or fundraising relative to the frontrunners. The August 18 primary occurs in a solidly Republican district where the nominee is expected to prevail in November, with late undecided voters and ad spending as key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено