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Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Jim Schwartzel 50.8%

Catalina Lauf 34%

Jim Oberweis 14.5%

Madison Cawthorn 3.8%

Polymarket

$43,309 Обс.

Jim Schwartzel 50.8%

Catalina Lauf 34%

Jim Oberweis 14.5%

Madison Cawthorn 3.8%

Polymarket

$43,309 Обс.

icon for Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

$8,497 Обс.

51%

icon for Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

$21,886 Обс.

31%

icon for Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

$5,971 Обс.

15%

icon for Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

$2,654 Обс.

4%

icon for Bob Rommel

Bob Rommel

$2,389 Обс.

2%

icon for Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

$1,911 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Recent polling and fundraising data position Jim Schwartzel as the frontrunner in the crowded August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s open 19th congressional district.** A Victory Insights survey released days ago showed Schwartzel and Catalina Lauf essentially tied near 19 percent among likely GOP primary voters, with Jim Oberweis at about 12 percent and a quarter of respondents undecided. Schwartzel’s profile as a local media executive with established Southwest Florida name recognition and substantial self-funding has supported his market lead. Lauf, a former Trump administration official who relocated from Illinois, has posted the strongest individual fundraising totals through June. Oberweis, another out-of-state self-funder and former Illinois lawmaker, trails in the latest survey. Lower-probability candidates including Madison Cawthorn, Bob Rommel, and Spencer Roach remain in single digits or below, reflecting limited polling support and weaker local infrastructure in the final stretch before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$43,309
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Recent polling and fundraising data position Jim Schwartzel as the frontrunner in the crowded August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s open 19th congressional district.** A Victory Insights survey released days ago showed Schwartzel and Catalina Lauf essentially tied near 19 percent among likely GOP primary voters, with Jim Oberweis at about 12 percent and a quarter of respondents undecided. Schwartzel’s profile as a local media executive with established Southwest Florida name recognition and substantial self-funding has supported his market lead. Lauf, a former Trump administration official who relocated from Illinois, has posted the strongest individual fundraising totals through June. Oberweis, another out-of-state self-funder and former Illinois lawmaker, trails in the latest survey. Lower-probability candidates including Madison Cawthorn, Bob Rommel, and Spencer Roach remain in single digits or below, reflecting limited polling support and weaker local infrastructure in the final stretch before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$43,309
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jim Schwartzel» з 51%, далі «Catalina Lauf» з 31%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $43.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — «Jim Schwartzel» з 51%. Наступний — «Catalina Lauf» з 31%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.