Operator Collective 🔆 reposted this
The Wall Street Journal published a piece this week with a headline that should feel familiar to anyone who read the Operator Collective 🔆 State of AI Transformation report in March: Big Companies Are Starting to Hire Again, Defying Predictions of AI Wipeout. Our operators told us six months ago that the AI jobpocalypse wasn’t happening. We surveyed 123 senior operators across our LP and portfolio network, and their workforce data told a specific story about sequencing: talent profiles need to change before headcount. Only 5% of respondents reported high impact on workforce planning - actual layoffs or hiring freezes directly attributed to AI. But 69% reported meaningful impact on talent profiles: role definitions, job descriptions, required skills. Organizations are still figuring out what kind of people they need. The WSJ piece captures exactly what that looks like in practice. Companies that froze entry-level hiring, assuming AI agents would pick up the slack, are now resuming that hiring - but with a different profile in mind. As OpCo Operator LP and Lattice CEO Sarah Franklin put it: they need workers who are "AI-native, innovative, not calcified in thought.” That's the kind of talent profile change we heard about repeatedly in our research. The "AI is replacing everyone" narrative and the "AI changes nothing" narrative are both wrong, and they're wrong in ways that can lead to bad decisions (like over-firing). The reality is much messier than either narrative would suggest. Many employers were seduced by the fantasy of AI producing the same work as their human employees, but at lower cost and without all that inconvenient humanity. But it’s not that simple. AI requires a reorganization of what work looks like before a recalculation of how many humans are required to do it. (And by the way - I spoke with another operator this week, an executive at a huge enterprise company, who said that it’s also becoming clear to their leadership that AI is not necessarily the lower cost option.) The most candid quote in the WSJ piece came from MIT's Paul Osterman: "Do we need more people? Do we need less people? We have no idea. No one has any idea." Read more about our findings here: https://lnkd.in/gaEChjrC