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Ancient Climate Change

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lightbulbAbout this topic
Ancient Climate Change refers to the study of historical variations in Earth's climate over geological time scales, focusing on natural processes and events that have influenced temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric composition prior to the modern era. This field utilizes geological, biological, and chemical evidence to reconstruct past climates and understand their impacts on ecosystems and human societies.
lightbulbAbout this topic
Ancient Climate Change refers to the study of historical variations in Earth's climate over geological time scales, focusing on natural processes and events that have influenced temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric composition prior to the modern era. This field utilizes geological, biological, and chemical evidence to reconstruct past climates and understand their impacts on ecosystems and human societies.

Key research themes

1. How did abrupt climate changes influence ancient societal resilience and transformations during the Late Bronze Age and related periods?

This theme investigates the socio-environmental dynamics during the Late Bronze Age (LBA) and similar intervals to understand how ancient societies exhibited resilience or underwent transformations amidst climate volatility and stress. It critically evaluates multi-century archaeological and paleoclimatic records to discern the interaction between climate fluctuations, societal complexity, population densities, and socio-political changes. The focus is on moving beyond simplified 'collapse' models towards nuanced depictions of persistent human adaptation and socio-ecological mismatches over time.

Key finding: This study uses high-resolution paleoclimate data and archaeological records from the Peloponnese to reveal that climate volatility over ~750 years influenced socio-political cycles, with arid conditions not necessarily... Read more
Key finding: Providing an in-depth socio-political evaluation of the LBA in the Peloponnese with integrated paleoclimate proxies, this paper extends the view of the period to 750 years, demonstrating that abrupt climate events alone... Read more
Key finding: Through multidisciplinary paleoecological and archaeological data from the Lower Strymon Valley, the study finds that Holocene Rapid Climate Changes (RCCs) of centennial to multi-century duration correspond to important... Read more
Key finding: The study reconstructs synchronized hemispheric cooling after a cluster of volcanic eruptions triggering the Late Antique Little Ice Age. It proposes that this prolonged cold phase contributed as an environmental stressor... Read more

2. What does paleoclimate data reveal about the timing and mechanisms of gradual versus abrupt climate transitions over the Holocene and longer geological periods?

This theme addresses the characterization, timing, and causative mechanisms of climate transitions ranging from abrupt episodes lasting centuries to longer-term trends spanning millennia and millions of years. It focuses on synthesizing multiproxy paleoenvironmental records—such as ice cores, marine and lacustrine sediments, speleothems, and terrestrial proxies—with climate modeling and analytical frameworks to reconstruct the temporal dynamics and spatial heterogeneity of climate variability during the Holocene, Late Quaternary, and Phanerozoic. This research is essential for understanding natural climate system responsiveness and feedbacks, as well as the background context for human-environment interactions.

Key finding: This paper shows that the transition from warm Pliocene climates to cooler glacial-interglacial cycles was not triggered by a single, rapid global event but rather through asynchronous and regionally specific cooling phases.... Read more
by Rosanne D'Arrigo and 
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Key finding: This comprehensive review presents decadal to millennial scale climate variability in the Late Quaternary, discussing orbital forcing, glacial-interglacial cycles, and millennial oscillations such as Dansgaard-Oeschger and... Read more
Key finding: The chapter synthesizes proxy data from the Baltic Sea region to reconstruct Holocene climate history characterized by early deglacial cold episodes, mid-Holocene thermal maximum with temperatures 1-3.5 °C above present, and... Read more
Key finding: Introducing the PaleoJump database, which systematically catalogs high-resolution paleoclimate proxies worldwide, this work applies statistical methodologies (augmented Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Recurrence Quantification... Read more
Key finding: This study provides sub-centennial resolution palynological and charcoal data spanning 60–27 ka from Lake Fimon, NE Italy, correlating millennial-scale climate variability with vegetation dynamics and fire regimes in MIS 3.... Read more

3. How can archaeology and modeling approaches integrate to better assess past human responses and adaptations to climate change for informing contemporary challenges?

This theme explores the methodological advances in computational modeling, interdisciplinary data synthesis, and long-term perspectives in archaeology to understand human adaptation, resilience, and vulnerability to past climate changes. It underscores the importance of high-resolution environmental and archaeological datasets, agent-based modeling, niche and network analyses, and cultural diversity considerations to generate dynamic causal frameworks of human-environment interactions. The research links past socio-ecological responses to anticipate future risks and develop informed adaptation strategies.

Key finding: Reviewing recent computational advances, this work emphasizes the incorporation of agent-based models, niche modeling, and network analysis to link climate proxy data with archaeological records. Such models provide... Read more
Key finding: This synthesis calls for transdisciplinary research integrating archaeological data with paleoclimatic and ecological proxies to reveal long-term human ecodynamics. It demonstrates how archaeological sites serve as... Read more
Key finding: Arguing that cultural diversity is a critical but underappreciated source of resilience in responding to climate change, this paper highlights how archaeological records document diverse cultural adaptations to environmental... Read more
Key finding: This article exposes how structural inequalities and archaeological practices have led to the underrepresentation of marginalized communities' heritage, exacerbated by climate change threats. Using case examples of indigenous... Read more

All papers in Ancient Climate Change

Between the foundation of Constantinople as capital of the eastern half of the Roman Empire in 330 CE and its sack by the Fourth Crusade in 1204 CE, the Byzantine Empire underwent a full cycle from political-economic stability, through... more
Statistical analysis of Carl Blegen's pottery sequence using Correspondence Analysis (CA) suggests a gap of 100–200 years between his Troy III and IV periods. From the Manfred Korfmann excavations three stratigraphic sequences... more
This research investigates the impact of 4.2 ka and 3.2 ka BP climatic events on the agricultural practices of the Bronze Age Kingdom of Mukish by evaluating wheat and barley remains in archaeobotanical data sets acquired from two sites,... more
The relative relationship of Holocene climate change, human cultures, and landscape evolution is unclear. However, palaeoecological and archaeological records, suggest that both have played an important role, acting in combination to... more
Climate change is thought to have played a significant role in the rise and demise of complex Mesopotamian societies throughout the mid-to late Holocene. However, assessing the links between societal change and climate variability has... more
Climate change is thought to have played a significant role in the rise and demise of complex Mesopotamian societies throughout the mid-to late Holocene. However, assessing the links between societal change and climate variability has... more
I n this article we present evidence for the existence of a previously unrecognised period in the Bronze Age sequence at Troy and for its dating in both absolute and relative terms. In a previous article (Weninger, Easton 2014) we suggest... more
The concept of the formation of the "Hunn-Sarmatian" culture and the Hunnic union in the Trans-Urals in the 2nd –4th centuries is not supported by modern data. The Trans-Ural burials of nomads belong to the Late Sarmatian archaeological... more
The small scale is recognized as a necessary rebuttal to macroscalar narratives of climate-society relationships in the past, and archeologists and historians have increasingly turned to advocating smaller and shorter scales of analysis... more
Climate change cycles throughout the history of Egypt can be modeled using a variety of sources. Proxy data can be drawn from alluvium, pollen, isotope analysis (Carbon-14, O-18, and other sources), and tephra volcanic dating. Other... more
The relative relationship of Holocene climate change, human cultures, and landscape evolution is unclear. However, palaeoecological and archaeological records, suggest that both have played an important role, acting in combination to... more
Historical climatic and environmental pressures and societal responses have varied markedly. Connecting climatic changes to social transformations is not an invention of the modern age. Commentators since antiquity have attributed... more
Before we can generalize about historical collapse(s) and draw out any general patterns, it is obviously essential to study a range of historical cases and, crucially, to examine them in detail and to try to pinpoint the causal mechanisms... more
When studying the past, the amount of attention paid to causation, correlation, and coincidence is voluminous and need not be fully entertained here. Rather, it is enough to say that determining the relationships between events and... more
Book chapter in<i> Tell Al-Hamidiyah 2</i>, edited by S. Eichler, M. Wäfler, and D. Warburton, 87–117. Göttingen: Vandenhoek & Ruprecht.
Sheep raising relied on a long local tradition in the Mesopotamian alluvium, where pastoralism was not confined to the outskirts of the economic landscape, but rather was nestled in it. Economic texts from Ur III Ĝirsu offer an... more
We explore settlement structures and hierarchy found in different archaeological periods in northern, specifically the Khabur Triangle (KT), and southern Mesopotamia (SM) using a spatial interaction entropy maximization (SIEM) modeling... more
New Agendas in Remote Sensing and Landscape Archaeology in the Near East is a collection of papers produced in honour of Tony James Wilkinson, who was Professor of Archaeology at Durham University from 2006 until his death in 2014. Though... more
One of the main questions that zooarchaeologists have attempted to answer in their studies of ancient agropastoral economies relates to animal diet. Starch granules and phytoliths, which derive from the plant foods consumed over the... more
New Agendas in Remote Sensing and Landscape Archaeology in the Near East is a collection of papers produced in honour of Tony James Wilkinson, who was Professor of Archaeology at Durham University from 2006 until his death in 2014. Though... more
The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full... more
Over the last 8000 years the Fertile Crescent of the Near East has seen the emergence of urban agglomerations, small scale polities and large territorial empires, all of which had profound effects on settlement patterns. Computational... more
The present article aims to assess the possible effects of climate change on settlement density changes that are indicative of the decline and rise of societies. Archaeological data and regional diachronic changes in settlement densities... more
The Nile, the longest river of the world, connects Northeast Africa from its headwaters near Lake Victoria to the Mediterranean Sea. This chapter focuses on the Nile in Egypt, where the river's annual inundation (until the building of the... more
Literature results of chemical bronze analyses originating from Near Eastern excavation sites have been assembled to obtain a general overview of the Mesopotamian bronze technology during the 3rd millennium BC. Results show that at the... more
The region of the northern Fertile Crescent experienced dramatic changes in the political and cultural life of its societies during the mid-late Holocene period (approximately 3000-1000 calibrated years B.C.). The range of these changes... more
Over the last 8000 years the Fertile Crescent of the Near East has seen the emergence of urban agglomerations, small scale polities and large territorial empires, all of which had profound effects on settlement patterns. Computational... more
Between the foundation of Constantinople as capital of the eastern half of the Roman Empire in 330 CE and its sack by the Fourth Crusade in 1204 CE, the Byzantine Empire underwent a full cycle from political-economic stability, through... more
The fundamental issue obscuring our understanding of the place of animal husbandry in the societies and economies of the ancient Near East remains definitional. Sheep and goat recovered from settlements that show evidence for foddering,... more
This study sheds light on the agricultural economy that underpinned the emergence of the first urban centres in northern Mesopotamia. Using δ(13)C and δ(15)N values of crop remains from the sites of Tell Sabi Abyad, Tell Zeidan, Hamoukar,... more
This paper employs data from selected sample survey areas in the northern Fertile Crescent to demonstrate how initial urbanization developed along several pathways. The first, during the Late Chalcolithic period, was within a dense... more
A collection of the author’s smaller webpages and articles on the subject of Atlantis in the Irish Sea 2017-2020. In 1995 the author published The Atlantis Researches, later republished in UK and USA as Atlantis of the West. These more... more
Archaeological evidence, particularly that deriving from systematic regional surveys, offers great potential for understanding social and demographic change in Anatolia between 300 and 1200 CE. We first consider major factors inherent to... more
Between the foundation of Constantinople as capital of the eastern half of the Roman Empire in 330 CE and its sack by the Fourth Crusade in 1204 CE, the Byzantine Empire underwent a full cycle from political-economic stability, through... more
New Agendas in Remote Sensing and Landscape Archaeology in the Near East is a collection of papers produced in honour of Tony James Wilkinson, who was Professor of Archaeology at Durham University from 2006 until his death in 2014. Though... more
The essential ideas behind the major methods for assessing the relative ages of geological and archeological materials and events are reviewed. These include the principles of original horizontality, superposition, inclusion,... more
Davis A. Young The essential ideas behind the major methods for assessing the relative ages of geological and archeological materials and events are reviewed. These include the principles of original horizontality, superposition,... more
At the beginning of time there were two brothers, twins, one named Man (*Manu, in Proto-Indo-European) and the other Twin (*Yemo). They traveled through the cosmos accompanied by a great cow. Eventually Man and Twin decided to create the... more
The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full... more
Between the foundation of Constantinople as capital of the eastern half of the Roman Empire in 330 CE and its sack by the Fourth Crusade in 1204 CE, the Byzantine Empire underwent a full cycle from political-economic stability, through... more
Recent investigations into the cause of the 1755 Lisbon earthquake have brought focus upon the fault lines and seamounts opposite the Strait of Gibraltar and the threat to Iberia from future mega tsunamis. These may be compared to ancient... more
The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full... more
JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and... more
This paper employs data from selected sample survey areas in the northern Fertile Crescent to demonstrate how initial urbanization developed along several pathways. The first, during the Late Chalcolithic period, was within a dense... more
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