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Economics of Population

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The economics of population studies the relationship between population dynamics and economic factors, analyzing how population size, distribution, and growth impact economic development, resource allocation, labor markets, and social policies. It encompasses demographic trends and their implications for economic performance and sustainability.
lightbulbAbout this topic
The economics of population studies the relationship between population dynamics and economic factors, analyzing how population size, distribution, and growth impact economic development, resource allocation, labor markets, and social policies. It encompasses demographic trends and their implications for economic performance and sustainability.

Key research themes

1. How do population growth and development interact to influence sustainable welfare and socio-economic outcomes?

This research theme investigates the complex relationship between population growth and its compatibility with economic development and sustainable welfare. It assesses viewpoints ranging from Malthusian pessimism, highlighting resource constraints and environmental degradation, to optimistic perspectives that emphasize technological innovation and adaptive capacities. The focus lies on identifying population thresholds that affect welfare, resource use, and economic indicators, and exploring policy implications for population control and sustainable development.

Key finding: The paper delineates two primary schools of thought debating population growth's impact on development: one positing population growth as a driver for innovation and progress, and another, via the Malthusian perspective,... Read more
Key finding: This paper critiques the ecological economics literature for insufficient treatment of population dynamics beyond scale issues, illustrating how growth rate and demographic pressures exacerbate social inequalities (e.g.... Read more

2. What are the methodological advances in modeling population growth dynamics and their implications for forecasting and policy?

This theme focuses on advancements in mathematical and statistical modeling of population growth, capturing complex dynamics such as logistic, Gompertz, and extreme value growth patterns. It investigates multi-state and probabilistic projection methods integrating demographic heterogeneity and uncertainty, thus improving accuracy in population forecasting and informing adaptable policy responses. The studies also elucidate age-structured impacts on population evolution, crucial for anticipating socio-economic and infrastructural needs.

Key finding: The article introduces generalized Beta function-based models, including hyper-logistic and hyper-Gompertz formulations, to capture nonlinear and extreme growth patterns in populations. It establishes connections between... Read more
Key finding: This work demonstrates the advantages of probabilistic population projections over deterministic high/low variants, using France as a case study. It advances methods for incorporating generational effects in mortality and... Read more
Key finding: Employing a discrete age-structured compartmental model, this study simulates the impacts of various n-child policies on the Philippines’ population growth trajectory. Key findings reveal that a two-child policy leads to... Read more

3. How do socio-cultural and institutional factors mediate population-related outcomes such as fertility, mortality, and labor market dynamics?

This theme investigates the socio-cultural and institutional determinants underlying demographic phenomena, including fertility decline, infant mortality, and marriage dynamics. It explores how historical institutions (e.g., seigneurial tenure), community interactions, cultural perceptions about family size, and economic stress influence demographic behaviors and outcomes. The research also assesses how labor market structures and longitudinal survey methodologies affect understanding of population processes, with implications for accurate measurement and policy interventions.

Key finding: Analyzing 1851-52 census data, this study reveals significantly higher infant mortality rates in areas under feudal seigneurial tenure compared to freehold land tenure, suggesting institutional constraints (e.g., predatory... Read more
Key finding: This literature review identifies a bidirectional, complex feedback loop where environmental degradation increases demand for children as labor resources—especially in developing rural contexts—leading to higher fertility and... Read more
Key finding: The paper develops an overlapping generations economic model demonstrating that increases in desired fertility affect marriage timing through population age structure and differential fecundity. Younger populations induce... Read more
Key finding: This study challenges the individualistic household economic models by evidencing that community-level interactions and social networks substantially influence fertility decline in India and Bangladesh. Using multilevel... Read more

All papers in Economics of Population

The Philippines is known for being deeply family-centered, shaped by Catholic teachings that emphasize marriage, childbearing, and multigenerational family life. Traditionally, getting married and having children were seen as both... more
Tapi district was part of Surat district till September 2007. Erstwhile Surat district consisted of both intense urban agglomeration and most remote tribal areas. These extreme realities required completely different approach in managing... more
This study is designed to investigate the factors influencing prenatal health status among women attending prenatal clinics in selected low income areas of Nairobi, Kenya. The main purpose is therefore to establish the prental health... more
We have already seen the concept of development and its measurements in chapter I. We will use these concepts and their measurements as guideline in understanding the depth and width of the problems of countries of the third world. Thus,... more
Population is various form of living thing in a definite geographic environment which has specific habitats, living style and distinct social organization. Ethiopia is a multi nation country, there are more than 80 nationalities... more
We investigate the historical determinants of the education gender gap in Italy in the late nineteenth century, immediately following the country's Unification. We use a comprehensive newly-assembled database including 69 provinces over... more
India's fertility is declining and at present the country is experiencing significant demographic transition. The fertility pattern at the district level shows robust spatial clustering of low fertility values and its spatial propagation... more
The purpose of the Economic History Working Papers (Quaderni di Storia economica) is to promote the circulation of preliminary versions of working papers on growth, finance, money, institutions prepared within the Bank of Italy or... more
Provision of quality water continues to be a challenge in the developing Counties particularly in the informal settlements and Kenya is not an exception. This study assessed diarrhea disease attributable to water, sanitation and hygiene... more
The purpose of the Economic History Working Papers (Quaderni di Storia economica) is to promote the circulation of preliminary versions of working papers on growth, finance, money, institutions prepared within the Bank of Italy or... more
Provision of quality water continues to be a challenge in the developing Counties particularly in the informal settlements and Kenya is not an exception. This study assessed diarrhea disease attributable to water, sanitation and hygiene... more
We investigate the historical determinants of the education gender gap in Italy in the late nineteenth century, immediately following the country's Unification. We use a comprehensive newly-assembled database including 69 provinces over... more
We investigate the historical determinants of the education gender gap in Italy in the late nineteenth century, immediately following the country's Unification. We use a comprehensive newly-assembled database including 69 provinces over... more
Sex ratios in India have become increasingly imbalanced over the past decades. We hypothesize that when sex ratios become very uneven, the shortage of girls will increase girls’ future value, leading sex ratios to self-correct. Using data... more
Women well-being has number of socioeconomic and developmental implications. Early child development is directly linked with well-being of mothers and educated women demand lower children. However, the existing literature hardly focused... more
Sciences. Created in 1955, the IFP is part of a network of research centres funded and supervised by the Division of Social Sciences, Human Sciences and Archaeology of the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Since 1988 the Department of... more
Previous work has demonstrated the potential for wheat market integration between the US and the UK before the ‘first era of globalization’ in the second half of the nineteenth century. It was however frequently interrupted by policy and... more
PhD projects in the program can be funded by grants of the Evangelisches Studienwerk e.V. Villigst.
Unemployment is persistently high in many European countries. It is frequently attributed to 'functional deficiencies of labor markets', even though to a large extent caused by demand and supply shifts in goods markets and financial... more
BACKGROUND: The human secondary sex ratio reportedly falls in populations subjected to exogenous stressors such as earthquakes or political and social upheavals. Explanations of the association include reduced conception of males and... more
Women well-being has number of socioeconomic and developmental implications. Early child development is directly linked with well-being of mothers and educated women demand lower children. However, the existing literature hardly focused... more
PhD projects in the program can be funded by grants of the Evangelisches Studienwerk e.V.
The author presents a synthetic overview of recent efforts related to the small area estimation methods applied to the Polish Labor Force Survey (PLFS). The review concerns methodology and results obtained by Central Statistical Office... more
Riassunto: La convergenza del comportamento demografico in popolazioni caratterizzate da diverse condizioni socio-economiche presenta interessanti prospettive di analisi, sia dal punto di vista teorico, sia per la valutazione degli... more
This paper uses the 'access orders' paradigm developed by North, Wallis, and Weingast [(2009). Violence and social order: A conceptual framework for interpreting recorded human history. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press] to analyse... more
This essay examines Marx's style and argumentation to argue that Marx crafted a rhetoric of technology that has empowered critics and theorists to assert that he advocated a range of competing philosophies of technology. It analyzes... more
Women, Medieval Commerce, and the Education Gender Gap * We investigate the historical determinants of the education gender gap in Italy in the late nineteenth century, immediately following the country's Unification. We use a... more
The factors that influence the male to female ratio at birth are legion. Males are usually born in excess and stress decreases the ratio while wellbeing and good health tends to increase it. This paper reviews the multitudes of factors... more
Since the 1970s, debates on ''population growth'' and ''sustainability'' have fluctuated markedly between pessimistic forecasts and optimistic certainties. Nowadays, they have reached a strange, comfortable illusion according to which the... more
This article examines the rhetorical transformation of Malthus's concept of the "redundant population" into what Marx and Engels relabeled the "surplus population" and the "industrial reserve army." Three rhetorical functions can be... more
India’s fertility is declining and at present the country is experiencing significant demographic transition. The fertility pattern at the district level shows robust spatial clustering of low fertility values and its spatial propagation... more
The goal of this study was to examine whether and to what extent sex ratio values at birth may have reflected social and economic inequalities in the Province of Poznań (German: Provinz Posen) in the last decades of the 1800s and early... more
Greater Brisbane, or Southeast Queensland, is the third-largest metropolitan area in Australia after Sydney and Melbourne. The current population of Greater Brisbane, as per the 2016 Australian Bureau of Statistics, is 2.27 million people... more
Started in May 1992, the Polish Labour Force Survey (PLFS) is one of the most important data sources to study the labour market dynamics in Eastern Europe. It is a typical rotating panel with a 2-2-2 rotation scheme. Similar to any other... more
Fertility Behaviour Fertility Transition in South India, edited by Christophe Z Guilmoto and S Irudaya Rajan; Sage Publications, New Delhi, 2005; pp 452 with 8 plates, Rs 895.
Riassunto: La convergenza del comportamento demografico in popolazioni caratterizzate da diverse condizioni socio-economiche presenta interessanti prospettive di analisi, sia dal punto di vista teorico, sia per la valutazione degli... more
This paper examines the comovements of construction in Italy's regions from 1861 to 1913. The dynamic correlations of the series' deviation cycles decline in the case of buildings, remain very low in that of railways, and tend to... more
The importance of population studies in Pakistan has been recognized since very ancient times. While population growth issues rarely grab the headlines in the media, it is imperative to note that Pakistan continues to be a victim of... more
This paper links between Beckerian literature that shows that marriage is a normal good with respect to male income and the literature that explores cultural changes as a result of exogenous events. I use the oil crisis of the 1970s as a... more
Our study showed no effect of 33-day war in Lebanon on sex ratio. More research is needed to explore other modifying factors for a better understanding of the complex effect of wars on sex ratio changes. (Fertil Steril Ò 2009;91:1571-3.... more
Becker, Glaeser and Murphy (1999) argue that 1) in densely populated societies the capital-dilution effect caused by a larger workforce is more than compensated by the positive effect on productivity of the increased specialization... more
In this article we provide a simple model of the marriage market where singles search for spouses. In our model economy men and women live for many years and they differ in their survival probabilities, in their fecundity, and in their... more
Among first marriages in the United States, grooms are on average 1.7 years older than their brides. Traditionally, this fact is explained by sex differences in income. We use a general equilibrium, overlapping generations search model... more
We investigate the historical determinants of the education gender gap in Italy in the late nineteenth century, immediately following the country's Unification. We use a comprehensive newly-assembled database including 69 provinces over... more
Women well-being has number of socioeconomic and developmental implications. Early child development is directly linked with well-being of mothers and educated women demand lower children. However, the existing literature hardly focused... more
This study has investigated various socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility across the districts of Punjab, Pakistan. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, population density, female literacy rate, employment rate and... more
This research investigates about the relation between demographic dynamics and economic growth, illustrating both orthodox and heterodox theories. An econometric study based on UE and BRIC countries is provided.
The review-and-analytical article deals with the correlation between demographic transition and national security. The focus is on the countries of the former Soviet Union. It proves that along with two traditional approaches of... more
The goal of this study was to examine whether and to what extent sex ratio values at birth may have reflected social and economic inequalities in the Province of Poznań (german: Provinz Posen) in the last decades of the 1800s and early... more
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