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Aug 6, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

0%
68%
2
icon for Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?

Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?

0%
40%
3
icon for Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

0%
33%
4
icon for Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?

Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?

100%
33%
5
icon for Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?

Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?

76%
30%
6
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?

38%
28%
7
icon for Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

67%
22%
8
icon for Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

50%
22%
9
icon for US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?

48%
21%
10
icon for Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

3%
21%
11
icon for Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?

Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?

64%
20%
12
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

35%
17%
13
icon for Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

6%
16%
14
icon for Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

16%
14%
15
icon for Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

59%
14%
16
icon for Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

20%
13%
17
icon for Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?

62%
13%
18
icon for 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?

18%
13%
19
icon for Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?

67%
12%
20
icon for Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?

53%
12%
21
icon for Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

74%
11%
22
icon for US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

20%
11%
23
icon for Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

65%
11%
24
icon for LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

77%
11%
25
icon for Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?

Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?

19%
11%