Ongoing NASA and ESA monitoring of near-Earth objects through ground- and space-based systems has identified no asteroids or comets on collision trajectories capable of delivering 10 kilotons or more of impact energy in 2026. Small meteoroids continue to enter the atmosphere, as seen with events like 2026 JN4, but these disintegrate harmlessly and fall well below the market threshold. Planetary defense programs, including refined orbit calculations and the upcoming NEO Surveyor infrared telescope, further reduce the likelihood of undetected threats. Traders assign an 89% probability to "No" because the absence of confirmed high-risk objects, combined with decades of impact frequency data showing such events are rare, drives the current consensus. Upcoming close approaches through late 2026 offer additional observation windows that could confirm or shift sentiment if new data emerges.