Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the Mythos-class tier above Opus, defined by superior reasoning, long-horizon agentic tasks, and demonstrated cybersecurity capabilities that discovered thousands of zero-days. These releases, following the limited April Mythos Preview via Project Glasswing, set the benchmark that other labs are now measured against. OpenAI responded in June with a cybersecurity-focused model rivaling Mythos performance in vulnerability discovery and exploitation, though it drew less regulatory scrutiny, while credible reporting points to an imminent “Spud” release potentially matching or exceeding that level. Trader sentiment reflects this competitive pressure: Anthropic retains a first-mover edge in defining and shipping the class, yet OpenAI’s parallel progress and the absence of confirmed timelines from Google or xAI keep the outcome contested ahead of expected fall model cycles. Regulatory approvals for broader Mythos access in late June and July add further near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$101,150 Vol.
30 set 2026
August 31
19%
15 settembre
40%
September 30
64%
$101,150 Vol.
August 31
$27,058 Vol.
19%
15 settembre
$21 Vol.
40%
September 30
$31,997 Vol.
64%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the Mythos-class tier above Opus, defined by superior reasoning, long-horizon agentic tasks, and demonstrated cybersecurity capabilities that discovered thousands of zero-days. These releases, following the limited April Mythos Preview via Project Glasswing, set the benchmark that other labs are now measured against. OpenAI responded in June with a cybersecurity-focused model rivaling Mythos performance in vulnerability discovery and exploitation, though it drew less regulatory scrutiny, while credible reporting points to an imminent “Spud” release potentially matching or exceeding that level. Trader sentiment reflects this competitive pressure: Anthropic retains a first-mover edge in defining and shipping the class, yet OpenAI’s parallel progress and the absence of confirmed timelines from Google or xAI keep the outcome contested ahead of expected fall model cycles. Regulatory approvals for broader Mythos access in late June and July add further near-term catalysts.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$101,150Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the Mythos-class tier above Opus, defined by superior reasoning, long-horizon agentic tasks, and demonstrated cybersecurity capabilities that discovered thousands of zero-days. These releases, following the limited April Mythos Preview via Project Glasswing, set the benchmark that other labs are now measured against. OpenAI responded in June with a cybersecurity-focused model rivaling Mythos performance in vulnerability discovery and exploitation, though it drew less regulatory scrutiny, while credible reporting points to an imminent “Spud” release potentially matching or exceeding that level. Trader sentiment reflects this competitive pressure: Anthropic retains a first-mover edge in defining and shipping the class, yet OpenAI’s parallel progress and the absence of confirmed timelines from Google or xAI keep the outcome contested ahead of expected fall model cycles. Regulatory approvals for broader Mythos access in late June and July add further near-term catalysts.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$101,150Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the Mythos-class tier above Opus, defined by superior reasoning, long-horizon agentic tasks, and demonstrated cybersecurity capabilities that discovered thousands of zero-days. These releases, following the limited April Mythos Preview via Project Glasswing, set the benchmark that other labs are now measured against. OpenAI responded in June with a cybersecurity-focused model rivaling Mythos performance in vulnerability discovery and exploitation, though it drew less regulatory scrutiny, while credible reporting points to an imminent “Spud” release potentially matching or exceeding that level. Trader sentiment reflects this competitive pressure: Anthropic retains a first-mover edge in defining and shipping the class, yet OpenAI’s parallel progress and the absence of confirmed timelines from Google or xAI keep the outcome contested ahead of expected fall model cycles. Regulatory approvals for broader Mythos access in late June and July add further near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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