The Federal Reserve's July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid a 9-3 vote, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike, reflects the dominant influence of above-target inflation and resilient growth on trader sentiment. Elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions have contributed to sticky price pressures, while the latest labor market data and June dot plot—showing a median path toward 3.75% by year-end—support expectations of limited easing. Futures markets currently price in a modest rise toward 3.8% by November, with the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and intervening August CPI and employment releases serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the implied probability of further tightening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,098,717 Vol.
2026/12/09
9月会合
36%
10月会合
48%
$2,098,717 Vol.
9月会合
$732,968 Vol.
36%
10月会合
$405,749 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve's July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid a 9-3 vote, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike, reflects the dominant influence of above-target inflation and resilient growth on trader sentiment. Elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions have contributed to sticky price pressures, while the latest labor market data and June dot plot—showing a median path toward 3.75% by year-end—support expectations of limited easing. Futures markets currently price in a modest rise toward 3.8% by November, with the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and intervening August CPI and employment releases serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the implied probability of further tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$2,098,717終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve's July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid a 9-3 vote, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike, reflects the dominant influence of above-target inflation and resilient growth on trader sentiment. Elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions have contributed to sticky price pressures, while the latest labor market data and June dot plot—showing a median path toward 3.75% by year-end—support expectations of limited easing. Futures markets currently price in a modest rise toward 3.8% by November, with the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and intervening August CPI and employment releases serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the implied probability of further tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,098,717終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's July 29 decision to hold the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid a 9-3 vote, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25 basis point hike, reflects the dominant influence of above-target inflation and resilient growth on trader sentiment. Elevated oil prices tied to U.S.-Iran tensions have contributed to sticky price pressures, while the latest labor market data and June dot plot—showing a median path toward 3.75% by year-end—support expectations of limited easing. Futures markets currently price in a modest rise toward 3.8% by November, with the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and intervening August CPI and employment releases serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift the implied probability of further tightening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。