OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and pursuit of a potential $1 trillion IPO valuation reflect its rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly alongside persistent operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. Recent reports indicate the company may delay its debut until 2027 after initially targeting late 2026, introducing uncertainty around listing timing and post-IPO share price discovery relative to its latest private round near $850 billion. Traders assess implied probabilities by weighing sustained enterprise adoption and AI model leadership against profitability timelines, capital needs, and comparable tech listings, with key catalysts including any updated SEC disclosures or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite for high-growth equities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,515,495 Vol.
$1,515,495 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
81%
1兆ドル
73%
1.2兆ドル
59%
1.4兆ドル
41%
1.6兆ドル
18%
$1,515,495 Vol.
$1,515,495 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
$105,526 Vol.
81%
1兆ドル
$1,046,080 Vol.
73%
1.2兆ドル
$248,684 Vol.
59%
1.4兆ドル
$66,879 Vol.
41%
1.6兆ドル
$48,326 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and pursuit of a potential $1 trillion IPO valuation reflect its rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly alongside persistent operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. Recent reports indicate the company may delay its debut until 2027 after initially targeting late 2026, introducing uncertainty around listing timing and post-IPO share price discovery relative to its latest private round near $850 billion. Traders assess implied probabilities by weighing sustained enterprise adoption and AI model leadership against profitability timelines, capital needs, and comparable tech listings, with key catalysts including any updated SEC disclosures or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite for high-growth equities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$1,515,495終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and pursuit of a potential $1 trillion IPO valuation reflect its rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly alongside persistent operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. Recent reports indicate the company may delay its debut until 2027 after initially targeting late 2026, introducing uncertainty around listing timing and post-IPO share price discovery relative to its latest private round near $850 billion. Traders assess implied probabilities by weighing sustained enterprise adoption and AI model leadership against profitability timelines, capital needs, and comparable tech listings, with key catalysts including any updated SEC disclosures or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite for high-growth equities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,515,495終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and pursuit of a potential $1 trillion IPO valuation reflect its rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly alongside persistent operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. Recent reports indicate the company may delay its debut until 2027 after initially targeting late 2026, introducing uncertainty around listing timing and post-IPO share price discovery relative to its latest private round near $850 billion. Traders assess implied probabilities by weighing sustained enterprise adoption and AI model leadership against profitability timelines, capital needs, and comparable tech listings, with key catalysts including any updated SEC disclosures or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite for high-growth equities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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